Grabbed by Holdem Manager
PL Omaha $0.10(BB) Replayer
SB ($11.37)
BB ($11.64)
Hero ($18.90)
UTG+1 ($10)
CO ($9.80)
BTN ($24.22)
Dealt to Hero A♥ 2♠ 3♦ A♦
Hero raises to $0.30, fold, CO raises to $1.05, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $2.55, CO calls $1.50
FLOP ($5.25) 5♠ A♠ 4♠
Hero bets?
Villain is pretty much unknown, 14 hands 36/14, this was his second 3bet out of 5 opportunities. What is the best line on this kind of flop b/c, c/c, c/r shove?
Well obviously you're never folding with top set here.
CO has $7.50 left and the pot is $5.
If villain has a flush...
board: As 4s 5s
A♥ A♦ 2♠ 3♦ 36.71%
K♠ Q♠ K♦ T♥ 63.29%
You have 36% equity. With the money already in the pot, you're putting $7.50 in to win $20 which is 37.5% equity required to break even.
So in other words. You have to be 100% certain opponent always has a flush here to be able to fold. Clearly you can never do this so folding is not an option.
If you are ahead on this flop, then you are crushing your opponent with a straight plus full house redraw.
Lead out for $2 and call any shove. If you get called, put the rest in on the turn.
