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Nl100 Kk

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axelphoney
Joined: 03.10.2009

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
SB ($84.07)
BB ($230)
UTG ($204)
UTG+1 ($115)
Hero ($148)
BTN ($100)

Dealt to Hero K♠ K♦

UTG raises to $3, fold, Hero raises to $9.50, fold, fold, fold, UTG calls $6.50

FLOP ($20.50) 6♣ 5♠ 8♣

UTG checks, Hero bets $12, UTG raises to $32, Hero calls $20

TURN ($84.50) 6♣ 5♠ 8♣ 3♥

UTG bets $39, Hero?

VIllain: 32/26, 49% fold to 3bet (4% 4bet), 47% WWSF, 45% fold to cbet (67% in 3bet pots), 1.5k hands.

Given stacksizes on the turn I guess we're in a push or fold spot. If he is only raising and betting for value here I am probably pretty crushed.

But since he has a very low fold to 3bet I suppose his range is kinda wide here, probably even wider than normal now that we are playing with ~150bb.

So what are you doing on the turn here?

Ship? Fold?


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3 replies
Coach
pleno1
Joined: 19.11.2010

whats his flop aggression?


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axelphoney Topic starter
axelphoney
Joined: 03.10.2009

AF flop: 3.5 , Ag freq flop: 54%

AF turn: 3.6, Aq freq turn: 36%

No idea how to use these stats. What is a high aggression frequeny, and how big of sample do we need to be able to use it properly?


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Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

Imo you have to make a decision on the flop. Not necessarily to 3bet, but wether you want to get to SD or not - and if not, a fold on the flop is probably best.
However, I think it's too weak to fold right away even 150BB deep given how aggro and loose he is in general ( I don't use specific stats like the turn-afq to reach this conclusion, it's more about the preflop stats in combination with the relatively high postflop-aggression.

However, I think calling turn is better than shoving because a shove looks quite strong whereas when we call he will assume we're very weak and he will most likely attempt to bluff us off our "weak range".


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