Grabbed by Holdem Manager
Limit Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
Hero ($33)
BB ($62.50) 33/26/1.8/50 n300
UTG ($46.50)
UTG+1 ($31)
CO ($70.25)
BTN ($128)
Dealt to Hero 2♦ 2♥
fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $2, BB calls $1
FLOP ($4) 4♣ K♣ 3♠
Hero checks, BB bets $1, Hero raises to $2, BB calls $1
TURN ($8) 4♣ K♣ 3♠ 9♦
Hero bets $2, BB calls $2
RIVER ($12) 4♣ K♣ 3♠ 9♦ 7♠
Hero ?
Villain is a LAG who is making my life hell , he is defending his BB quite loosely ( and rather well ). So , before moving onto another table :], I decided to attack his blind expecting plenty of agression .
I took that flop line for a reason , he has a Bet IP v missed CB of 87% out of 23hands in that spot . Turn bet is mandatory an allows me to narrow his range to small pairs and mostly draws (imo) once he just called back .
The seven is a terrible card , so what would you recommend ?
I would b/f if it were any Ax hand in his range , but I doubt he holds any, as he should have folded them to a turn bet , even though he is quite a showdown-bound type guy ( 50% ) . OTOH , my flop c/r shows much more strength than the default line , so ....... I am quite lost on the river ....
What do you think of this line ?