Villain is playing 46/15 over 14 hands. No further reads.
Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $2(BB) Replayer
SB ($213)
BB ($228)
UTG ($172)
UTG+1 ($236)
Hero ($200)
BTN ($212)
Dealt to Hero T♠ T♥
fold, fold, Hero raises to $6, fold, fold, BB calls $4
FLOP ($13) 6♣ 9♦ 2♦
BB checks, Hero bets $8, BB raises to $16, Hero calls $8
TURN ($45) 6♣ 9♦ 2♦ 5♥
BB checks, Hero bets $38, BB calls $38
RIVER ($121) 6♣ 9♦ 2♦ 5♥ 2♥
BB bets $168 (AI), Hero calls $140 (AI)
Originally posted by jmackenzie
folding turn or calling down both seem fine to me
why? and which do you prefer?
UGHHHHH.... that was said thnking the fish continued ott but you bet..
imo river is a call and nh altogether
Can expect alot of random 9x, 6x+fd button clicks plus the obv busted fd's maybe even some 3 pair bets...
I'd play same way most likely. We're playing our hand, not poker in most cases against a fish and overpair = nuts 
I think he has 2x or busted fd on river ..., but still calling
This looks an awful lot like 87 to me.
Generally I found c/c - big_donkbet lines to be strong hands for the most part.
I think 2x is rather unlikely after the turn-c/c, but there are not many other hands he'd:
- first check-minraise -> c/minr is either for FEQ [draw] or value
- then c/c -> indicates SD-value
- then donkbets
-> His range is filtered for SD value as bluffs are not c/calling the turn and draws are probably also in "aggro-or-fold-mode", meaning that they're either leading, c/raising or c/folding - most fish on NL 100 have at least heard of odds&outs and don't call too much against their odds.
So to me it's a fold on the river.
i think 87 c/jams turn almost alw. And i don't rly expect 87 to c/r F.
Imo, set is deffo possible if this guy was a nitty fish and thinking that c/mr F for value, c/c T because i could have 87 and go AI on R when he boats up so that i don't chk back.
But given his stats, i didn't give him credit for being a nitty fish and having that thought process.
Also, my plan was to bet/fold on T, so i deffo didn't expect him to c/jam with a draw. Any thoughts on 3betting the F? Also, i don't expect this type of guy to c/f hands like 6dxd, 5dxd, 7dxd, 9x with a str8 draw etc. so he's going to have plenty of stuff to bluff with on R. I still only need to be good 35% of time.
I don't like 3bet flop too much as we're IP and I think he's folding quite a bit vs the 3bet (i.e. he folds all bluffs obv and some marginal draws that he'd bet again).
What would we do here if he'd c/r(shove) the turn?
btw after giving it some thought, river is imo a call. I think many fish often have a tendancy of see these paired boards as excellent opportunities to pull of a bluff, and if they have a hand worse than trips they are often deterred when the board pairs as they are lousy handreaders, whcih makes it more likely that they'd check a worse hand. A lot of generalasing yes, but I still think it's a pretty common "fishthinking", at least from what I've experienced. ♦
Originally posted by Bierbaer
Vs a c/r on the turn we have an easy fold imo.
with this betsizing yea, agreed.
is there any sizing betsizing on T that after betting you'd do something else than fold?
Originally posted by Shevtshenko
Originally posted by Bierbaer
Vs a c/r on the turn we have an easy fold imo.with this betsizing yea, agreed.
is there any sizing betsizing on T that after betting you'd do something else than fold?
Nope, vs a c/c-c/r line we're pretty much always crushed I think.
