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Ev ?

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Weekly Depositor Free roll titan poker..

thanks in advance..

looking at stack sizes is it positive ev to call medium pair
in long term or bad call..

Villain : tight player

iPoker - $0+$0|<> NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3: http://www.pokertracker.com

Hero (CO): 6,790.00
BTN: 6,890.00
SB: 11,100.00
BB: 13,975.00
UTG: 3,212.50
UTG+1: 12,847.50
MP: 8,235.00
MP+1: 11,732.00
LP: 6,950.50

SB posts ante 50.00, BB posts ante 50.00, UTG posts ante 50.00, UTG+1 posts ante 50.00, MP posts ante 50.00, MP+1 posts ante 50.00, LP posts ante 50.00, Hero posts ante 50.00, BTN posts ante 50.00, SB posts SB 150.00, BB posts BB 300.00

Pre Flop: (900.00) Hero has 6s 6h

UTG raises to 3,162.50, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls 3,162.50, fold, fold, fold

Flop: (7225.00, 2 players) 5c Ah 4d

Turn: (7225.00, 2 players) 3h

River: (7225.00, 2 players) Qh

Hero shows 6s 6h (One Pair, Sixes) (Pre 48%, Flop 74%, Turn 86%)
UTG shows Ts Js (High Card, Ace) (Pre 52%, Flop 26%, Turn 14%)
Hero wins 7,225.00


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6 replies

if it's freerol, it will never be that bad to call that although you are most likely gonna be in flip at best


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hi delhi2011,

will move this to the hand evaluation forum too.

cheers,
wendy


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_Anonymous_ Topic starter
_Anonymous_

hey purple..
thanks a lot :)
cheers


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Tiltberger
Joined: 23.06.2005

try use pokerstrategy equilab -> give him a range and equilate your 66 against it. you need to start thinking in ranges!

here a tight player normally doesn't shove loser than 66+ suited ax, offsuited a10 probably, kq and this stuff...
this means you're almost never a favor in this spot!

but equilate it and try give him a range -> but you always need to consider the risk that somebody wakes up behind you with another strong hand, and you have a good resteal stack -> so if you need something like 45% here with deadmoney -> then i would like to have at least 50-53% against his shoving range!
greets


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Angstzweet
Joined: 13.01.2009

Let's assume he's a decent player (no reads) and give him a range that consists of:

55+, ATs+, KQs ,ATo+ & KQo (10,6%)

When we run this range against your 66 in Pokerstove you will see:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 57.443% 56.82% 00.62% 788053260 8656950.00 { 55+, ATs+, KQs, ATo+, KQo }
Hand 1: 42.557% 41.93% 00.62% 581599080 8656950.00 { 66 }

You 66 will win 42% of the times.

Now we should look at the pot odds you get.

You have to call 3,162.50 to win a 7,225.00 sized pot.

3,162.50/7,225*100% = 43,7%

The general rule is: It's a call when your pot odds % is lower then the odds % you have with your hand.

So theoretical this is a fold, but it's very close. When you believe his range is wider a call could be +EV longterm, but still not very +EV because it's most off the time still a coinflip and you want to have way ahead situations like AK vs. AQ etc. etc. etc.


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_Anonymous_ Topic starter
_Anonymous_

very well explained.. something i was looking for and will help me in future...
thanks angz
cheers...


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