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TPTP 3B pot fold River?

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Dublimax
Joined: 22.11.2008

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
($88.44)
Hero ($122)

Dealt to Hero K♠ A♠

Hero raises to $1, raises to $4, Hero calls $3

FLOP ($8) 4♠ 7♥ A♦

bets $6, Hero calls $6

TURN ($20) 4♠ 7♥ A♦ T♥

bets $14, Hero calls $14

RIVER ($48) 4♠ 7♥ A♦ T♥ J♥

bets $26, Hero folds

wins $47.50

At this point we have played 140 hands. He is a maniac pre flop and quite happy barrel post flop (at least Flop+ Turn).

Stats at this point of the match:
Villain:
SB: OpenRaise:71, F3B:70, 4B:20
BB Fold:61, 3B:39, F4B:50
CBet 91%

Hero:
SB: OpenRaise:81, F3B:59, 4B:9
BB:Fold:62, 3B:19, F4B:50
Fold CBet:33, Donk:10, C/R:44

At this point I was 4B as a bluff only and would call his 3B with my strong hands.

Because the dynamic was so aggro preflop I didn't have so much info post flop even after 140 hands apart from the fact that he CBet almost always.

I think it is standart on Flop and Turn. When he barrels the Turn my guess is that he got some more equity with hands like FD, KQ, 89. He obviously has Ax, 2 pairs and sets too. The J of heart is very bad so I mucked bc I don't see too many bluffs and the only value hand I beat is AQ.


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Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

He is superaggro preflop on flop and turn - chances are he is at least somewhat aggro on the river.

You don't have much info about him postflop - here you have TPTK in a 3bet pot and he's likely to bluff; when are you planning to find out? :P

=> Call river imo.

Btw since we don't know much about his ppostflop-game I wouldn't bother too much trying to put him on a range, he can easily have a lot of bluffs in his 3bettingrange and call AT+ oftentimes (as well as smth like KQ).
So he doesn't necessarily have a strong range here.


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