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[Closed] nl10 SH AKs multiway pot

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citystar12
Joined: 03.02.2008

[tg]BU$8,92:///////;CO$17,31:///////;MP3$12,72:///////;MP2$28,88:///////;Hero$10,00:///////;SB$9,65:///////;[/tg]
0,05/0,1 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.38 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

Preflop: Hero is BB with A♦, K♦
MP2 folds, MP3 raises to $0,50, CO calls $0,50, BU calls $0,50, SB folds, Hero.. ?
3bet or call ?


10 replies

i would reraise 2 dollars here


I would re-raise 3x initial raise- 1,5$+ called money 2x0,5= 2,5$


citystar12
Joined: 03.02.2008

Preflop: Hero is BB with A♦, K♦
MP2 folds, MP3 raises to $0,50, CO calls $0,50, BU calls $0,50, SB folds, Hero raises to $2,50, MP3 raises to $12,72 (All-In), 2 folds, Hero?
what to put him on ?? should I call here?


I would fold here, it's either you are way behind (AA,KK) or coinflip (any pp smaller than KK, AK). Unless you've seen villain push preflop with worse cards, because AQ, AJ, KQ are the only hands that you are ahead.


I call this. Too many pushers with QQ and AK to let this one go and with the dead money and the amount to call, it's +EV


Hmmm, how do you calculate that this is EV+?


Amount to call = 7.5 $
Potsize before call = 13.55 $

Needed equity to make this call profitable = 7.5 / (13.55+7.5) ~= 36 %
You have the right odds to call this as you have more than 36 % equity versus villains range [QQ+, AK]

Your equity vs 5 possible hands :
AKs v AA : 12 %
AKs v KK : 34 %
AKs v QQ : 46 %
AKs v AKs : 50 %
AKs v AKo : 52.5 %

Given this, do you think you have 36 % on average or would villain almost certainly only do this with AA ?
Notice that even if you'd be sure that villain has KK, the call would only be very marginally EV-


I also call. Forget QQ-KK. I've seen 55 many a time.


Ok, thanks Sonic for explanation :)


Thorsten77
Joined: 28.05.2006

Originally posted by citystar12
Preflop: Hero is BB with A♦, K♦
MP2 folds, MP3 raises to $0,50, CO calls $0,50, BU calls $0,50, SB folds, Hero raises to $2,50, MP3 raises to $12,72 (All-In), 2 folds, Hero?
what to put him on ?? should I call here?

Lets assume his pushing range is QQ+,AK (this range is very tight - typically you also see some lower pockets or bluffs, but we use a "worst case" scenario), then we have the following equity:

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

143,833,536 games 0.038 secs 3,785,093,052 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 41.904% 22.62% 19.28% 32535636 27736416.00 { AKs }
Hand 1: 58.096% 38.81% 19.28% 55825068 27736416.00 { QQ+, AKs, AKo }

Given we have 42% Equity, we have a share on the pot of 8.40$ if we call. We have to call 7.50$, so a Call should show a longterm profit of 0,90$!