Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
SB ($104)
Hero ($108)
UTG ($100)
UTG+1 ($194)
CO ($100)
BTN ($16.83)
Dealt to Hero T♥ A♥
fold, fold, CO raises to $3, fold, SB calls $2.50, Hero calls $2
FLOP ($9) J♣ A♣ A♦
SB checks, Hero bets $6, CO calls $6, SB raises to $27.50, Hero calls $21.50, CO raises to $97 (AI), SB folds, Hero calls $69.50
SB: 50/10 (fish) - 10 hands
CO: 25/20 good reg - 2.5k hands
Not sure I played this hand very well.
When the TAG flats my donkbet on the flop I think he could probably have any Jx hand, QQ-KK and probably also all the aces that doesn't want to blow up the pot right now.
Up to this point I had no reads on the fish, but I guess he could play any ace this way, and also maybe a FD so I think I have to call his c/r as I expect to be ahead of his range most of the time.
It gets ugly though when the reg shoves it all in. Question is can I ever expect him to play a worse ace this way?
I need almost 30% equity to breakeven, and even against a better ace I have 20%. Against boats I am obv crushed though. So all in all maybe a fold is the best play, expecting him to have me beat here very often?