Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
SB ($229)
BB ($101)
Hero ($225)
UTG+1 ($64.98)
CO ($173)
BTN ($100)
Dealt to Hero A♥ J♥
Hero raises to $3.50, UTG+1 calls $3.50, CO calls $3.50, fold, fold, BB calls $2.50
FLOP ($14.50) T♣ A♣ 8♥
BB checks, Hero bets $10, UTG+1 folds, CO calls $10, BB calls $10
TURN ($44.50) T♣ A♣ 8♥ J♠
BB checks, Hero bets $33.50, CO raises to $159 (AI), BB folds, ,Hero?
This hand was played at the anon. tables on MG, so I have no stats, and at this point I hadn't been able to gather any reads besides noticing that I was up agaisnt a fish (had been limping and stuff..).
In order to call here I need to be good around 35% of the time.
Bräda: T♣A♣8♥ J♠
Equity Vinst Oavgjort
MP2 30.40% 24.15% 6.25% { AhJh }
MP3 69.60% 63.35% 6.25% { TT, 88, AJs-ATs, Q9s, AJo-ATo, Q9o }
If he is raising another set of combos of twopair I can profitably call:
Bräda: T♣A♣8♥ J♠
Equity Vinst Oavgjort
MP2 40.67% 35.41% 5.26% { AhJh }
MP3 59.33% 54.07% 5.26% { TT, 88, AJs-ATs, A8s, Q9s, AJo-ATo, A8o, Q9o }
But this spot really really sucks. I guess we have to use some kind of framework of how loosely fish in general goes brooke here and stick to it.
So all it comes to down here is how loose do you think the average fish would go brooke here?
