PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.02 BB (9 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
Button ($4.14)
SB ($2.05)
Hero (BB) ($4.13)
UTG ($4.62)
UTG+1 ($1.88)
MP1 ($2.62)
MP2 ($1.65)
MP3 ($1)
CO ($2)
Preflop: Hero is BB with K
, A
UTG bets $0.06, 2 folds, MP2 calls $0.06, 4 folds, Hero calls $0.04
Flop: ($0.19) Q, J, 5
(3 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $0.10, MP2 calls $0.10, Hero calls $0.10
Turn: ($0.49) 9
(3 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $0.35, MP2 raises to $0.70, Hero calls $0.70, UTG calls $0.35
River: ($2.59) A
(3 players)
Hero checks, UTG checks, MP2 bets $0.79 (All-In), Hero folds, UTG calls $0.79
Total pot: $4.17 | Rake: $0.15
Shortstack is 13/9 on 81 hands.
Fish is 57/43 but I only have 20 hands on him.
Flop I saw two opponents so I called for better implieds.
So I'm reading into the implieds of hitting here of course. I have to hit a T or any Diamond that doesn't pair the board to win. I feel like this is very marginal because I'm not guaranteed to get the fishes stack if a Diamond comes.
I feel the fish is calling every time I call on turn. this makes the pot on turn bigger so I'm effectively putting $0.7 into into $1.89.
If I hit and I only get the shorties stack I would be winning $2.68 for my $0.7 call when I hit so I'd need 26% pot chance of hitting my hand and this is assuming he brokes every time.
If he only has sets here, I have just 22%..... so wondering if me maybe not getting payed off by the fish on any diamond would make this call -ev.
If the fish is able to call on Diamonds as well as the T, I should be able to make this call nice and +ev.
Slight problem is, If I do hit I'm not sure how to extract the most value. If I shove the villain may even want to fold some two-pairs? probably not bottom set though.
Anyway, not sure If I'll get payed enough for this call to make it good or just marginal spot that could be avoided.
