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[SH] NL 25 KQ TP vs nit donk on the turn

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Poker Stars $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players -

BB: $8.30 - VPIP: 10, PFR: 6, 3B: 0, AF: 2.0, Hands: 48
Hero (UTG): $25.00
CO: $49.01 - VPIP: 25, PFR: 20, 3B: 8, AF: 1.8, Hands: 139
BTN: $39.86 - VPIP: 25, PFR: 19, 3B: 9, AF: 2.3, Hands: 212
SB: $26.00 - VPIP: 11, PFR: 4, 3B: 5, AF: 9.0, Hands: 56

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is UTG with Q :spade: K :heart:
Hero raises to $0.87, 2 folds, SB calls $0.77, 1 fold

Flop: ($1.99) 6 :spade: 9 :spade: K :diamond: (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $1.50, SB calls $1.50

Turn: ($4.99) 2 :club: (2 players)
SB bets $2.00, Hero calls $2

River: ($8.99) 3 :diamond: (2 players)
SB bets $3.50, Hero calls $3.50

Villain looks very nitty but 56 is still a small sample.

I'm thinking about a raise on the turn:
-I'd expect villain to c/r his premims on the flop: 66,99
-bet looks weak, like he wants to give himself odds to continue to draw cheaply
-I'd expect a bigger bet in case he actually has a strong made hand because nits are afraid of getting outdrawn.

So, should I make it like 7.5 on the turn to get max value from my hand?


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3 replies
veriz
Joined: 20.07.2008

Hello DeMarcohsp,

Well, if we do raise the turn which of course is even fine vs his donk-bet size. :) What's your plan if he 3bets you? Otherwise seems to be fine.

Best Regards.


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I think that if we decide that our hand is good to raise on the turn since we basically reduce his range to draws and brain farts we should play for stacks, but that doesn't look like the best plan against a nitty guy so prolly it's best to behave and just call his bets, right?


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veriz
Joined: 20.07.2008

Originally posted by DeMarcohsp
I think that if we decide that our hand is good to raise on the turn since we basically reduce his range to draws and brain farts we should play for stacks, but that doesn't look like the best plan against a nitty guy so prolly it's best to behave and just call his bets, right?

Well, the sample is still pretty small. :) So both options are totally welcome. Myself I might even be towards flatting line and keep his weak range and bluffs in the play.


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