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AKs squeezed pot

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FlashDavin
Joined: 25.10.2011

PokerStars - $0.10 NL ZOOM - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: $4.04
Hero (SB): $37.48
BB: $7.49
UTG: $11.03
UTG+1: $5.86
UTG+2: $10.00
MP: $20.02
MP+1: $14.46
CO: $15.22

Hero posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has K♣ A♣

fold, fold, UTG+2 raises to $0.30, fold, fold, CO calls $0.30, fold, Hero raises to $1.50, fold, fold, CO calls $1.20

Standard squeeze imo. Villain is 80% f2cbet, 18/14, 4 aggression factor, 48/60 WTSD/W$SD.

Flop: ($3.40, 2 players) 7♥ Q♥ A♦
Hero bets $1.70, CO calls $1.70

Is it right to lead out for value when I hit here?

Turn: ($6.80, 2 players) 9♠
Hero bets $3.80, CO calls $3.80

Once again leading for value.

River: ($14.40, 2 players) 5♦
Hero checks, CO bets $8.22 and is all-in, Hero calls $8.22

I check because I want to get to a showdown and when he ships I figure I may have been trapped. Is this a call after being 150BB deep? I also check to let the villain bet his potential hand. I can't see him CALLING with worse but maybe betting KK or something.

Spoiler

CO shows J♦ T♦ (High Card, Ace) (Pre 39%, Flop 18%, Turn 16%)
Hero shows K♣ A♣ (One Pair, Aces) (Pre 61%, Flop 82%, Turn 84%)
Hero wins $29.45


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veriz
Joined: 20.07.2008

Hello FlashDavin,

Assuming that villain may play his strong hands more aggressively earlier while we are also deeper then sure, we could consider Check/Calling if you consider him having enough of missed draws in his range. FD still missed.

KK is never betting on the river, why should it even? Has showdown value and if he keeps calling so long then he is Checking behind the river. Nor of course he wouldn't flat preflop.

Best Regards.


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