$55 sat – pair + oesd vs turn lead

LgWz

Joined: 26.05.2007

09.08.2012, 03:21 0

No Limit Holdem Tournament
PokerStars
7 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com
$50+$5

Stacks:
UTG (13,801) 46bb
Hero (UTG+1) (9,315) 31bb
MP (15,627) 52bb
CO (13,267) 44bb
BTN (10,002) 33bb
SB (15,079) 50bb
BB (13,225) 44bb

Blinds: 150/300 Ante 25

Pre-Flop: (625, 7 players) Hero is UTG+1 J♠ J♦
1 fold, Hero raises to 600, 3 folds, SB calls 450, BB calls 300

Flop: 9♣ 8♦ 10:heart: (1,975, 3 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets 1,210, SB calls 1,210, BB folds

Turn: K♠ (4,395, 2 players)
SB bets 3,300, Hero (7489 behind) ???

Satellite for a live event, pays 2 about 15 left, I was playing without a hud but he's the limp/call pre kind of guy. Not sure what to do OTT with my stack size, kind of hate every option...

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chenny8888

Joined: 03.10.2007

Posts: 17,729

09.08.2012, 05:54 0

Hi all,

It's an unfortunate turn card but with 2 Js in your hand he really just has 6 comboes of KJ, 9 combos of KQ, and 6 comboes of KT that beat you. Against these hands you have pretty decent equity anyway. Conversely, he has a lot 87, 97, T7s, J9, J8s hands, if he's the type to play those hands preflop (usually these live satellites are really soft, so he may well be). Against these hands you're doing amazingly. I'm not saying he necessarily leads every one of those to commit himself on the turn, but if we think he is leading SOME of them, then we have to put it in and pray. It sucks that we're playing so shallow stacked, and it was 3-way to the flop so the pot is so bloated (so we get less information about his hand), but we just have to commit here and hope for the best.

chenny8888 / hav0c (my online nick) / "you are such a luckbox" (my live poker nick):

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LgWz

Joined: 26.05.2007

Posts: 5,970

09.08.2012, 15:38 0

Thanks, just needed this confirmation ♦ I shoved and he had K9dd

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chenny8888

Joined: 03.10.2007

Posts: 17,729

11.08.2012, 12:09 0

Oh ya I forgot about the K9s and K8s combinations. Doesn't change anything.

chenny8888 / hav0c (my online nick) / "you are such a luckbox" (my live poker nick):

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$55 sat - pair + oesd vs turn lead