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All draws miss, ok line?

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Skodljivec
Joined: 17.12.2011

Villain is a fish over a small sample of hands, no specific reads.

Is my line ok? Bigger bet on the flop probably, but i was sure he had a draw since he showed no agression; most draws missed, so i thought my river bet would make him fold... I guess i was wrong.

Should i try a bigger bet? Or check/fold? Is the line ok, and it sucks to get called by such a weak hand?

Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 Pot Limit Omaha Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $20.15 (80.6 bb)
BB: $15 (60 bb)
Hero (MP): $28.40 (113.6 bb)
CO: $22.33 (89.3 bb)
BTN: $21.82 (87.3 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP with 9 K 7 A
Hero raises to $0.85, CO folds, BTN calls $0.85, SB folds, BB calls $0.60

Flop: ($2.65) 8 J 5 (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $1.50, BTN calls $1.50, BB folds

Turn: ($5.65) Q (2 players)
Hero bets $3.25, BTN calls $3.25

River: ($12.15) 3 (2 players)
Hero bets $5, BTN calls $5

Results:

Spoiler

$22.15 pot ($1 rake)
Final Board: 8 J 5 Q 3
Hero showed 9 K 7 A and lost (-$10.60 net)
BTN showed J 8 6 4 and won $21.15 ($10.55 net)


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3 replies
JonikoP
Joined: 15.05.2010

Given that you hold Ad and the open ender would have got there on the turn, it seems unlikely that he holds a draw that will fold on the river.

Also, given your bet sizing on the flop, it's pretty unlikely that you have a strong hand (a set would bet bigger). Such a small bet on the river is not going to get him off the vast majority of his range and I don't think will be profitable.


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Ribbo
Joined: 25.06.2010

Your bet sizing on the turn kinda gives away the fact that you don't have the nuts, so I am guessing villain put you on a range of "nuts or nothing", that is nuts with nut flush redraw or nothing at all. I can't see you betting 2 pair this way, you probably check/call.

I think the line you took is unbalanced and easy to read for anyone with 2 pair.


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Fold preflop in this position, somewhat hard to play those unconnected hands OOP.

I'd like a c/c turn in case he hit his straight, for implied odds and pot control.

Edit: come to think of it - no implied odds ;)


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