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60$ 6-man 66 hand

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kurrkabin
Joined: 12.10.2010

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $20(BB) Replayer
SB ($1,750)
BB ($1,470)
UTG ($1,340)
UTG+1 ($1,470)
CO ($1,500)
Hero ($1,470)

Dealt to Hero 6♣ 6♠

UTG raises to $40, fold, fold, Hero calls $40, SB calls $30, fold

FLOP ($140) K♥ A♥ 8♠

SB checks, UTG checks, Hero checks

TURN ($140) K♥ A♥ 8♠ 6♥

SB bets $60, UTG folds, Hero raises to $200, SB raises to $1,710 (AI), Hero folds

SB wins $540

Villain is 30/18/1.8-agg.f-46 hands. I just think he leads more with 2 pairs, Ax and I've seen it from fishes very often that they bet/donk small re-raise with the immortal nuts or what they consider immortal nuts. Looks like an easy hand prolly, but I think I need to fold. Not sure if my arguments are super valid. Maybe he does that with Ax w a heart's draw, but they heart is gonna be a weakish one unless he has AQ :heart: or AJ :heart:, else I think he just bet/calls. And maybe leads bigger. Thoughts?


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4 replies

Hey,

Im all for making hero folds, but your read is never going to be accurate enough for folding sets on the turn to be long term profitable.


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Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008

Inclined to agree with jaxtraw here.

Turning a set is super hard to do (ahem, unless you're kurrkie, ofc ;) ) and it has the bonus that it's very well disguised.

To SB, your turn raise can easily look like a semibluff vs a weak looking donk. He can pretty easily shove here with Tp+fd and all 2pairs. Given that some of the time he will reraise his flushes to, like $450/500, I think we just have to call it off here.


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+1

he's a fish, we has set. AAAAAAIIIINNNNNNNN

if you want to give him a range, the middle of his 'value' range is every 2 pair combo.


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kurrkabin
Joined: 12.10.2010

Word, guys : )


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