Originally posted by boozaf
Is there anywhere I can find examples of what ranges of hand I should expect from some 3Bet or 4Bet value villain might have?
Thanks a lot
If you download Equilab then run it, you will see a set of 10 row labelled "hand Range" at the top.
At the very left of each row, is a position label.
Immediately to the right of that is an icon showing a set of cards.
If you hover the mouse over it, you can read "Hand Range Selection"
Click the icon next to MP3.
On the right-hand side you see a box with "Predefined hand ranges"
Open the Pokerstrategy.com - No Limit FR Open Raising Chart Standard list, and choose MP3
Click OK.
You should now see in the MP3 hand range row, what we would expect a sane, standard reg to be open raising with in that position.
Now to answer you question:
Click on Tools on the menu; then click on Hand Range Calculator
The target range is in the top half -- you can modify it if you want.
Set the slider to 45% then click "calculate hand range" you will see in the bottom half the range that has >= 45% equity against the range in the top half.
In this example, it shows AJo+,AJs+,77+
So if you 3Bet with that range, you can expect to win 45% of the time if called.
However if this particular MP3 folds 33% to a 3Bet, you win 33% of the time right then, and 45% of the other 67%, so overall , you win 33% + 30% about 63 % of the time. When you take into account that if he calls, you are winning 45% of a bigger pot, you could go even wider.
If you set the slider to 37.5%, the range is:
22+
A2s+, K7s+, Q9s+, J9s+, T9s, 98s
A8o+, KJo+, QJo
Even with this wide 3Betting range, and assuming that he still folds 33% of the time, your EV is now 33% + (37.55 * 67%) = 58% -- so still above break-even.
I have ignored that fact that sometimes MP3 will 4Bet you, but you can use the tool to predict what ranges villain will have for that, too.
I have simplified the math a bunch too.
I may even have gotten it wrong <== hmmmm this might expain a few things ♦
I have also assumed that villain is not a whacko spew monkey who will call anything.
As spungeh says, in these cases, stats rule.
Enjoy,
--VS