Ak backdoor full nl 25 sh

I agree with you that he calls whatever you bet if he has a full house.

The problem is: does he ever have a full house here? I think he bets that himself and he probably bets weaker Ax as well. I think he will usually have a hand like JT, 89s, 67s here so I think shoving basically never gets a call. Think of it this way: his range is very weak overall so he is unlikely to call. If we are mistaken in this assumption and he is strong, he will raise a small bet himself anyway. Thus, I think we should go funky with our bet sizing and make it ridic small and hope for a spazz/curiosity call from the hands mentioned before. I'd actually go for around $3.5 tbh, maybe even less. Sometimes a minbet is best.

I know it sounds ridiculous sometimes but his range is ULTRA weak here and if it isn't we get the same value anyway.

I agree with emanu! Bet flop small as he won't call you with much, he might spew tho. Think I would bet 4.3 tho to make it look more like a blockbet.

Is the flopcall standard?
- Villain is a nit so far
- These Ahi boards doesn't get check/raise-bluffed a lot. He can still have two pair and sets.

The sample size is too small. Thus folding seems too weak. If he somehow cr bluffed or a worse ace or value then folding is a huge mistake.

It also makes more sense to cr the turn from his pov with sets

Originally posted by mbml
It also makes more sense to cr the turn from his pov with sets

I would check/raise a set here?

But allright I get it Indeed it feels a bit weak.

In general you should always slowplay sets by default on dry boards. Unless u think he doesnt barrel turn often as a bluff and he will take pot control lines with top pair. If not, crimg the turn seems like a better idea in most cases.

Originally posted by mbml
In general you should always slowplay sets by default on dry boards. Unless u think he doesnt barrel turn often as a bluff and he will take pot control lines with top pair. If not, crimg the turn seems like a better idea in most cases.

Well that's what I think. The board isn't superdry either. The turn will never be a scarecard where he can bluff on so he isn't barreling