Originally posted by maythany
Poker is an interesting game. We can make all the right moves yet still lose and we can make all the wrong moves and be rewarded for it. So how do we know if we're playing a +EV style?
Time.
No, that isn't correct.
Hands.
Lot's of em.
Bet even then, as you play, you study, you learn, you adapt, you change.
So the last 10K hands of your 100K hands is different from the first 10K hands (hopefully better) -- so you cannot really tell even then.
The only thing you can do is:
Play each hand as the hand demands.
Include in your decision:
♦ Your cards
♦ Your position
♦ Your stack size relative to the opponents stack and to the pot.
♦ Your opponents perceived range.
♦ Action before you
♦ Action after you
♦ Your opponents stats
♦ Game type (cash, SnG, Double-or-Nothing, MTT etc)
♦ Board texture
♦ Odds -- including implieds
Do NOT include:
♠ Emotions
♠ Any hand results prior to this
♠ How much you have won/lost that day (or any day)
That is all that can be done.
If you make the best decision you can in each situation and STILL LOSE, they it is luck. This WILL come your way.
After a long enough period luck will even out, and skill will make the difference.
The only aspect of the poker world under your control is your own skill. Build that and you will grow. Neglect it, and you will remain the same and the poker world will pass you by, grinding you to dust as they go.
I play FL 5-Card Draw. It is a low-variance game, I am a winning player.
Yet I lost 100BB in the space of 1000 hands one weekend.
In the last two weeks, I have not had a losing session.
My luck changed, but more importantly, I was forced to add several moves to my game when I moved up a limit and ran smack into better players.
Sheesh, I MUST learn to write shorter posts,
--VS