Villain opens 38% from CO and folds 67% to 3bets overall, 4bets 1/8 times so no real sample on that. This was the first 3bet pot when he faced a cbet so no stat there specifically. His overall forl to cbet is 45% though. 29% WTSD and 46% W$SD.
I've been thinking about it and it's not the right board to bet small on the turn. Too many 89, 76, T8, etc hands that continue vs just about any size bet so I should probably bomb it. I was also considering check/shove but dk how much he floats or how thin he vbets turn. Do you think I should bet bigger on the turn with all my range? I have some 78s, QJ, KJ, KQ in my range here, seems like a decent spot to have FE with a small bet but not sure.
As played, is river shove too thin? I'm not worried much about QJ (OESD + overs will play more aggressively a lot of the time on prev streets IMO), probably KQ and KJ are the problem, plus my perceived range. Do you think I can get a call from worse without any dynamics?
Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
BTN: $104.44 (104.4 bb)
Hero (SB): $102 (102 bb)
BB: $145.54 (145.5 bb)
UTG: $181.98 (182 bb)
MP: $57.97 (58 bb)
CO: $148.19 (148.2 bb)
Preflop: Hero is SB with T
A
2 folds, CO raises to $3, BTN folds, Hero raises to $10, BB folds, CO calls $7
Flop: ($21) 5
9 T
(2 players)
Hero bets $12, CO calls $12
Turn: ($45) 4 (2 players)
Hero bets $15, CO calls $15
River: ($75) Q (2 players)
Hero bets $65 and is all-in, CO calls $65
