Full Tilt - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3
BB: $10.00
Hero (UTG): $26.10
CO: $10.15
BTN: $18.88
SB: $12.39
SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10
Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero has K♣ A♦
Hero raises to $0.30, fold, BTN calls $0.30, SB raises to $1.30, BB calls $1.20, Hero raises to $26.10 and is all-in, fold, SB calls $11.09 and is all-in, fold
Flop: ($26.38, 2 players) 3♠ 3♦ 7♥
Turn: ($26.38, 2 players) J♠
River: ($26.38, 2 players) 9♣
Hero shows K♣ A♦ (One Pair, Threes) (Pre 43%, Flop 24%, Turn 14%)
SB shows Q♣ Q♥ (Two Pair, Queens and Threes) (Pre 57%, Flop 76%, Turn 86%)
SB wins $24.63
I think this is a very good spot for turning AK into a 4bet bluff and shoving.
BTN has a lot but I know he's never calling, but it will look like I don't care if he does. SB 3bets about 8% from blinds, and BB cold calls pocket pairs way too often, so I shove as a bluff blocking half of the combos of AA/KK. I will also make this exact play w AA/KK.
This is a bad call by villain right?
He needs 42% equity and even if we throw in AK bluffs into the mix he has 39%. But he is only hoping that AK is in this range, and if its not he has 18.26% equity and is crushed. His reads if he has HUD on me are 4% 3bet. Usually I 3bet around 10% but he doesn't know this and if I had this image at table I would not try this bluff.