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KQo sb vs bb

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staselu
Joined: 02.01.2008

IPoker Network $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 2116622
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

UTG: $10.00
CO: $12.02
BTN: $10.14
Hero (SB): $11.85
BB: $10.00

31/28 fold BB to steal 68% vs steal 3bet 19% 3bet vs sb 23% (85 samples) 4bet range 2.4% fold to 4bet 6% (16 samples) agfactor 3.8 wts 25 hands 2.6k

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is SB with Q :spade: K :heart:
3 folds, Hero raises to $0.30, BB raises to $0.90, Hero raises to $2.10, BB calls $1.20

Flop: ($4.20) 2 :spade: 3 :spade: 3 :club: (2 players)
Hero bets $2.10, BB calls $2.10

Turn: ($8.40) 8 :diamond: (2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $4.20, Hero folds

preflop:BB 3bets vs steal 19% (22+, A2s+, K8s+, Q9s+, J9s+, T9s, ATo+, KQo, JTo)
folds to 4bet 6% and I assume he will push QQ+,AK

19%[3bet range]-2.4%[4bet range]-1.14%[0.06*19%=1.14% range that he folds to 4bets]=15.76% [range that he calls 4 bets]


       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    52.40%  49.67%   2.73% { JJ-22, AQs-A2s, K8s+, Q9s+, J9s+, T9s, AQo-ATo, KQo, JTo }
MP3    47.60%  44.86%   2.73% { KhQs }

With KQ, we have bag equity vs 15% range

Conclusion: Against this opponent I need to:

4bet only with TT+,ATs+,KQs,ATo+,KQo


       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    39.45%  37.26%   2.19% { JJ-22, AQs-A2s, K8s+, Q9s+, J9s+, T9s, AQo-ATo, KQo, JTo }
MP3    60.55%  58.36%   2.19% { TT+, ATs+, KQs, ATo+, KQo }


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1 reply

Hello,

Quite an interesting spot we have here.

Preflop I would rather just call here. Don't really want to build up the pot too much with K high.

If we plan to just cbet the flop and check/fold the turn I would rather check/fold right on the flop.
Don't really think we have too much fold equity on this board and I can hardly imagine a better hand folding.
So we either play bet/bet to try make him fold PPs/Ax or just check/fold on the flop.

Best,
Plamen


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