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a765ds facing huge cold 4b mw

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Skodljivec
Joined: 17.12.2011

CO is playin 29/22/9 over 1k hands, a regular lag that 3bets wide.
BTN is a megafish, 90+vpip over few hands,
BB is a fish as well, however his cold 4b can't be anything but AAxx here...

What do i do? I have 40% against random AAxx, and if the flop goes multiway, my hand won't be dominated as much imo... Should i just fold here? Call?

Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 Pot Limit Omaha Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Hero (MP): $50 (100 bb)
CO: $50 (100 bb)
BTN: $298.26 (596.5 bb)
SB: $85.50 (171 bb)
BB: $74.02 (148 bb)
UTG: $36.95 (73.9 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP with A 6 5 7
UTG folds, Hero raises to $1.75, CO raises to $6, BTN calls $6, SB folds, BB raises to $26, Hero ???


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semmel81
Joined: 18.01.2007

Holy shit. That´s close with already $14 Dead Money.

CO might be a problem here, or not... Big pairs he may fold... With Rundowns he may stack off in such a pot. Some of these Rundowns may work pretty well against your Hand. But with the idiotic Button a call is my favourite

My feelings:
Call > Fold > Push


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RuiBouquet
Joined: 21.03.2008

I would prefer to fold. I think you can make big mistakes calling. And you are basically playing with only 3 cards.


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Ribbo
Joined: 25.06.2010

There is no guarantee CO or BTN will fold. Indeed if you shove yourself they may both believe they are up against two people with aces (at which point any 4 random cards are favourite over you both) and reshove with hands that dominate you.

Snap fold, you have only put $2 in to the pot yourself.


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semmel81
Joined: 18.01.2007

ok cool... I thought more about that to risk here a bit more: BTN: $298.26 (596.5 bb) _biggrin:


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RuiBouquet
Joined: 21.03.2008

Originally posted by semmel81
ok cool... I thought more about that to risk here a bit more: BTN: $298.26 (596.5 bb) _biggrin:

That's irrelevant... You have 100 BB's


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semmel81
Joined: 18.01.2007

Yeah. but Target #1 is clearly that player with his stack. So I´m willing to put myself sometimes in close decisions to come deep with him.

Anyway. It is better to fold AAxx here, right? With what kind of rundowns we could stay in the pot here?
Just Rundowns that could made at least a broadway Straight? How about dominatet ones like 8765ds?


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RuiBouquet
Joined: 21.03.2008

Originally posted by semmel81
Yeah. but Target #1 is clearly that player with his stack. So I´m willing to put myself sometimes in close decisions to come deep with him.

Anyway. It is better to fold AAxx here, right? With what kind of rundowns we could stay in the pot here?
Just Rundowns that could made at least a broadway Straight? How about dominatet ones like 8765ds?

fold AA** PF?!?!?!?


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semmel81
Joined: 18.01.2007

Originally posted by RuiBouquet

fold AA** PF?!?!?!?

In this special Situation, I prefer to fold AAxx. The probability that BB has sth else than AAxx is quite low... It´s hard, but imo correct. Eventually Top double Suited Aces can be played.


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RuiBouquet
Joined: 21.03.2008

It doesn't make any sense to me!!

Ribbo, could you please tell us your thoughts on that?


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Ribbo
Joined: 25.06.2010

Never fold. :f_biggrin:

It's either a 2% mistake if you shove or a massive mistake if they both turn over KK


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