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NL50 SH - 97s: flush draw vs donkbet

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Lunitis
Joined: 22.02.2009

52/10
3 af
57% fold vs cbet
50% wwsf
31 hands

CO: $78.89 (157.8 bb)
BTN: $28.65 (57.3 bb)
SB: $26.06 (52.1 bb)
Hero (BB): $50.50 (101 bb)
UTG: $43.64 (87.3 bb)
MP: $51.82 (103.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 9♦ 7♦
4 folds, SB completes, Hero raises to $1.75, SB calls $1.25

Flop: ($3.50) K♦ 2♥ T♦ (2 players)
SB bets $2.50, Hero calls $2.50

Turn: ($8.50) 4♠ (2 players)
SB bets $5, Hero ....

Raise flop? Turn?


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EmanuelC16
Joined: 02.01.2010

Hey,

Given stacks and his somewhat higher than average postflop aggression (higher than average for a limp/caller) I would be tempted to raise flop. Sizing would not be too big though, so a raise to about 6.50 should be fine. The idea is that you get folding equity with the raise, uncap your range very often and also get to river quite often when you have initiative IP.

As played, I think turn is a fold. You don't have that many implied odds, nor do you get close to the right odds against a range that has you beat most often.


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Lunitis Topic starter
Lunitis
Joined: 22.02.2009

Would be a raise/fold on the flop?
I called the flop with the idea of raising the turn, but i think i overestimate my fold equity on the turn.


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EmanuelC16
Joined: 02.01.2010

Originally posted by Lunitis
Would be a raise/fold on the flop?
I called the flop with the idea of raising the turn, but i think i overestimate my fold equity on the turn.

Yes, raise fold. If he shoves he will have you crushed and that will usually be his sizing given stacks. On the turn you don't have that much folding equity so I don't think you can bluff that much when he bets. It's fine to call flop if he gives up on the turn quite often and then you can win with a bet, not a raise.


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