So I'd love to get some advice on building up my bankroll. This site/forum seems to have much better general advice and users willing to offer helpful specific suggestions than some of the others I've been on (cough 2+2 cough).
My situation is this, to give you some context. I'm a recreational player that would like on-line poker to one day provide me a decent side income, and if possible, a full time bankroll, transitioning to a live game one day. I primarily play on Pokerstars, although I've also recently opened a Full Tilt account as well. My time to play is somewhat limited since I have a regular job, so I'm mostly on for a few hours each night, and on weekends. I've read a fair amount of the strategy books and trolled forums, as well as been getting real-money experience in the games for about 4-5 months now. I wouldn't say I'm in the upper tier of math/strategy experts, and by no means do I play close to a perfect game. But I use a HUD, understand M-Zone, know a fair amount about player tendencies, and 3 and 4-betting strategies. Essentially I know the fundamentals and can final table SnG's and the occassional satellite.
My biggest issue is picking the right spots to play in on Pokerstars. I like the format of MTT's and SnG's and don't want to grind cash games, so that's out. I am also -ev when multi-tabling more than 3-4 games, so I don't think I would do well grinding 10+ tables. I find I can't concentrate enough on playing correctly if I've got more than a few games going at once. So essentially I need to find the best risk/reward spots to play in to maximize my ROI. Ideally I'd love to turn my $300 into a few thousand over the next few months just to prove to myself that I can do it. Up till now I've been picking very high variance, low $ entry spots and I've lost about $500 over 5 months total playing moderately good poker.
SO, my question is that given my parameters what do you think of the following game selection options:
#1 - $1.50/$3.50 18-180 man SnG's. This seems to be the "safest" approach, but I've found in the past that the games on PS are pretty tough even at these levels with a lot of regs in them. So playing decent poker I'll final table at least half the time, but only cash or ship maybe 1 out of 7 of these. This gives me something like a 5-10% ROI, which means that since I don't mass-multitable this is going to take a long time to build up a bankroll. It probably doesn't even work out to be worth it from an hourly rate standpoint at the $1.50/$3.50 level.
#2 - $.50 to $2 Satellite Rebuys. This is where I've done the best, but it's pretty high variance and not what I would call skill poker. But the risk/reward is the highest. If I can cash one of the $1.50 Sunday million Satellites and redeem that for $215 I don't need to win very often to make it profitable. And I've cashed a few of the .55 $55 Satellites which is also great risk/reward. Given my limited time available to play these seem good, but I feel like I'm gambling rather than playing skill poker. It's also tough to go for a week or two without cashing as they psychological effect of losing 30-40 satellites in a row sucks.
#3 - $1-$5 Guaranteed Freezeouts. I've done ok in the "Bigger" and "Hotter" freezeouts, but they are long time investments which don't justify the min cashes. I've never final tabled one of these as the fields are huge (1500 to 10,000 players). It feels more like I'm playing "real" poker than the rebuys, but the variance due to the field size is huge. I feel like I could play these for 3 months and maybe only final table once or twice. And if those aren't for 1st-3rd place it's 3 months of time wasted breaking even.
#4 - $5-$15 Guaranteed Freezeouts (i.e., the Sunday Storm, Big $11, etc.). I've done fairly well at these, with a decent ROI, but any kind of losing streak is catastrophic. I ran badly and lost about 30 of these in a row which bankrupted my $300 bankroll earlier in the year. Conventional wisdom seems to be that I should play up to $1500-$2K in bankroll before jumping back into these levels so I can absorb the variance.
#5 - $1-$2 Rush tournaments on Tilt. I just started playing these a couple weeks ago. The pro's are that I cashed one for $50 pretty quickly, and that you can play a LOT more volume. This is very appealing to me given my time constraints. Also, the player base on FT seemed a lot softer than PS. The con is that because you can play so much volume and they are a bit of donkfests you can blow through your bankroll quicker. Again, this category felt vaguely more like gambling to me than playing skilled poker.
Are there any I'm missing? Timed events?
Basically, the bottom line is that for a reasonably skilled amateur player where are you going to get the most bang for your buck on PokerStars with a $300-$500 bankroll? What game selection should I be looking at? thanks!!