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22$ Double Deuce - Q9o

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PaPi92
Joined: 17.02.2011

20/17/3b-6.8 / call open from BB - 17(12) / fold to flop cbet - 33(6) / turn - 0(1) / flop agr - 47(17) for 173 hands.
I don`t think he is good player, because he has played only 800 MTTs(low av. BI) in FT and PS

My plan was to push any river below T. His range is capped and I think I will have a ton of FE on the river.
I think this Q is close. Looking his stats, I don`t think he has a lot weak Ax or Kx. He would call me with AT, KT (he might don`t call KTo, but I am not sure), JT(32 combos; include 5 combos KTo). I need ~50% FE, because I don`t think I have showdown value with Qx on the river.

If he folds KQ,QJ (18 combos), he could have some weak Axs, but I am not sure would he flat with A9o,A8o for example.
What do you think?

Full Tilt Poker The $100K Double Deuce No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t14000/t28000 Blinds + t3500 - 7 players - View hand 2135506
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

UTG: t530256 M = 7.97
UTG+1: t891805 M = 13.41
MP: t1403267 M = 21.10
Hero (CO): t1208329 M = 18.17
BTN: t592772 M = 8.91
SB: t710949 M = 10.69
BB: t765295 M = 11.51

Pre Flop: (t66500) Hero is CO with Q :diamond: 9 :club:
3 folds, Hero raises to t56000, 2 folds, BB calls t28000

Flop: (t150500) A :spade: J :diamond: K :heart: (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets t63500, BB calls t63500

Turn: (t277500) 2 :heart: (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets t124500, BB calls t124500

River: (t526500) Q :spade: (2 players)
BB checks, Hero requests TIME, Hero checks


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2 replies

Hi,

Problem barreling AKJ board is that player must know to find fold button. Usually they don´t fold that often, so I would usually give up turn. River is perfect bluff card and betting 33k would fold out everything besides Tx

best regards,


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chenny8888
Joined: 03.10.2007

Hi all,

Looks good. I don't think he folds aces up on the river, so overall there are too few combinations in his defense range that we fold out. I like your plan in general BTW: 3barrelling this board is great to fold out QJ, KQ type hands, and he has very few AJs combinatorically.


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