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nl100 ugly flop facing raise with two pairs

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horVeech
Joined: 03.03.2013

Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

CO: $271.43 (271.4 bb)
BTN: $227.92 (227.9 bb)
SB: $103.73 (103.7 bb)
BB: $102.50 (102.5 bb)
UTG: $107.07 (107.1 bb)
Hero (MP): $103.50 (103.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP with J K
UTG folds, Hero raises to $3, CO calls $3, BTN calls $3, 2 folds

Flop: ($10.50) Q K J (3 players)
Hero bets $8.50, CO folds, BTN raises to $28, Hero folds

Results:

Spoiler

$27.50 pot ($1.24 rake)
Final Board: Q K J
CO mucked and lost (-$3 net)
BTN mucked and won $26.26 ($14.76 net)
Hero mucked J K and lost (-$11.50 net)

guy is a regish player with wtsd 35 , agg 36/19/19, Call open BU 12, raise cbet 12, SQ 3
i guess according to GTO i shouldnt fold this but ..
CO is a 24/11 regfish


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5 replies

GTO is flawed imo.

What is your flop cbet %? If it is like 80% then you can expect to be bluff raised more often. If it is around 60-70% then I think you make a good hero fold. I doubt he expects you to fold something this strong & your cbetting range isn't particularly weak even if you cbet really really wide.

His raise cbet isn't out of order so you would expect this to be mostly if not entirely 2Pair+.


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horVeech Topic starter
horVeech
Joined: 03.03.2013

My cbet is 65 but on this flop it's very strong range I do cbet with. Therefore I used this sizing...


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Sizing makes you look even stronger, making it even more of a fold.


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horVeech Topic starter
horVeech
Joined: 03.03.2013

do you play at stars nl100 ? there is a guy with the same nick :P


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Yep, I am trying to get a good sample multitabling.

I actually have a quick check to see if the stats look similar to mine, before I comment, as I wouldn't want to comment on how to play against myself :)


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