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TPTK 3bet bot vs tight reg, river decision

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I don't think it is profitable to isolate my hand preflop. Plus I have to balance my 3bet-call.
The turn is so ugly. And the river decision is so hard. Actually I beat only bluffs.
Which line on turn/river is the best do you think? And his river agg freq is really low... :(

Is it profitable to catch here bluffs or AK?

Spoiler

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
SB ($12.68)
BB ($12.71)
UTG ($4)
Hero ($17.23)
CO ($15.11)
BTN ($12.69)

Dealt to Hero K♦ A♥

fold, Hero raises to $0.30, fold, fold, fold, BB raises to $1, Hero calls $0.70

FLOP ($2.05) 8♠ 3♣ A♦

BB bets $1, Hero calls $1

TURN ($4.05) 8♠ 3♣ A♦ Q♣

BB bets $2.10, Hero calls $2.10

RIVER ($8.25) 8♠ 3♣ A♦ Q♣ 6♣

BB bets $5.50, Hero calls $5.50


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5 replies

Plus if his 3bet is polarised, he probably has many combination AcXc. So right now I think the call is awful.
The question is: Is it possible to fold turn here?


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CptCap
Joined: 18.03.2013

He 3bets 17% v steals in the BB, cbets 75% in 3bet pots and has a 9,5 turn AF..
Don't you think that would be a very tight fold?

Do you only include A :club:x :club: in his range + AQ?
What else do you think he could bet the turn + river with?

As played you should probably just call down


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CptCap, it's not a steal situation. That makes me think his range is even more polarized. Also he knows I'm not so wide from mp.
Cmon guys, could you please check out the hand. I really doubt how to play such spot. :(
Right now I think 4bet call is much easier decision. But also I have to learn postflop. :)


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del


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Hi,

Why do we need to balance a 3-bet calling range at 10nl versus someone like him? Do you expect him to pay attention to your range enough to worry about a balanced range there?

I think that calling is fine because we can't 4-bet/call as profitably against him with 127 BBs (although 4-bet/call wouldn't be a huge mistake).

As played the river is a fold even if we are just to look at his stats on the river. However, even without the stats you rarely have any 10nl reg 3-barrel bluff on such a board in a 3-bet pot and there's nothing worse that they can valuebet.

So you will lose here 99/100 times if not more.


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