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Zoom plo50 QsQJ9 utg, flop tp paired bd, mwp turned into bluff

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Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008

Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Omaha Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BTN: $35.29 (70.6 bb)
SB: $116.30 (232.6 bb)
BB: $55.59 (111.2 bb)
Hero (UTG): $57.02 (114 bb)
MP: $121.31 (242.6 bb)
CO: $79.51 (159 bb)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with J Q Q 9
Hero raises to $1.02, MP raises to $3.81, CO calls $3.81, 3 folds, Hero calls $2.79

Flop: ($12.18) J 8 8 (3 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $6.50, CO calls $6.50, Hero raises to $21, 2 folds

Results:

Spoiler

$31.68 pot ($1.43 rake)
Final Board: J 8 8
Hero mucked J Q Q 9 and won $30.25 ($19.94 net)
MP mucked and lost (-$10.31 net)
CO mucked and lost (-$10.31 net)

MP is a reg, CO unk. No reads.
1. Have we enough equity to call the sqz pre?
2. Is it reasonable to use our J blocker to turn our hand into a bluff on the flop (i.e. vs perceived ranges)? Or should CO's flat dissuade us from doing so? Presumably if we are not ch/r "bluffing", we should ch/f?
3. I notice that when I open to less than pot I get 3b more. Is this a problem or should I not worry?

thanks


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Ribbo
Joined: 25.06.2010

You are rarely ever bluffing here, so it's a good spot if you think CO is calling the flop with draws or just to float, a checkraise is going to have a high success rate because it looks so strong after CO has already called.

You might even get a solid CO to fold an 8 with no kicker (like if he has 8654).

You're risking $21 to win $25 so this needs a 50% success rate. Heads up I would never try this because your checkraising range is going to be a lot wider than trips therefore players can't fold aces in that spot, however multiway opponents will assume you have to be tighter with your range here.

I also wouldn't checkraise if the flop was wetter (with a flush draw showing) because then your range becomes wider (since players will try to buy the pot with strong draws).

You can only pull this off with the exact scenario that happened. All you need to do is have some read on CO that he would raise this flop with trips (and therefore make his calling range be JJ/J8 and straight draws).

Also you can't rule out having the best hand, MP might have 3 bet preflop with something like 4567ds and is just hoping for 2 folds on the flop.


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