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ATo UTG vs 3bet MP

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zereles11
Joined: 27.03.2013

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
Limit Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
SB ($2.82)
BB ($2.08)
Hero ($6.67)
UTG+1 ($3.92)
CO ($5.39)
BTN ($3.29)

Dealt to Hero A♠ T♣

Hero raises to $0.20, UTG+1 raises to $0.30, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls $0.10

FLOP ($0.75) 5♥ Q♣ K♦

Hero checks, UTG+1 bets $0.10, Hero calls $0.10

TURN ($0.95) 5♥ Q♣ K♦ A♥

Hero checks, UTG+1 bets $0.20, Hero calls $0.20

RIVER ($1.35) 5♥ Q♣ K♦ A♥ K♠

Hero checks, UTG+1 checks

UTG+1 shows 8♣ 8♥
(Pre 56%, Flop 60.4%, Turn 4.5%)

Hero shows A♠ T♣
(Pre 44%, Flop 39.6%, Turn 95.5%)

Hero wins $1.29

27/15/1.3 3bet of 9%, WTS 39 on 138 hands

cbets : 93 - 100 - 50

b/f river as an option to extract value from PPs or he folds them anyway ?

Assuming he bet/fold turn with JJ-77 would be profitable to c/r raise bluff with 66 or 77 ?


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2 replies
Boomer2k10
Joined: 22.09.2010

Well it's certainly not worth raising AT here vs a range that's 3-betting your UTG

If he checks back w/ 88 then you're going to lose a bit of value but on average ATo isn't great here vs a range that's 3-betting a UTG raise, you're only 51% favourite on the turn and that's vs a fairly wide range which this guys probably doesn't have

In terms of bluffing if you think he's going to bet/fold all his underpairs then you have to have some bluffs on this board and 66-77 are the worse hands in your UTG range, aside from the odd 9 :heart:T :heart: and 8 :heart:9 :heart:, which you probably dump the flop on anyway, so given they're the bottom of your range then bluff raisign them isn't horrible.


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firsttsunami
Joined: 23.01.2006

I agree on Boomers Post. You should not only consider your EQ of 51% but you should ask yourself: what are his worse hands you might get value from if you'd checkraise.

There is not only one hand you get value from. Either he does have KQ AJ AQ AK or a set or he does have JJ TT that he checks the turn with and against Pocketpairs he is drawing dead.

If we don't consider your gutshot-Outs it's kind of a wayahead/waybehind -Situation. It means either you're kind of far ahead and he's drawing pretty thin. in case he's got a Pocketpair like 88 99 or you're drawing thin against a Set or AQ etc.

So in such a case raising doesn't achieve anything. check/call Turn and showing down the hand by another check/call is the only reasonable play. Well played :)


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