Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $40(BB) Replayer
SB ($2,000)
BB ($2,000)
UTG ($2,000)
UTG+1 ($2,000)
UTG+2 ($2,000)
MP1 ($2,000)
MP2 ($2,000)
MP3 ($2,000)
CO ($2,000)
Hero ($2,000)
Dealt to Hero A♦ Q♣
fold, fold, UTG+2 raises to $120, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls $120, fold, fold
FLOP ($300) K♥ 6♣ T♦
UTG+2 checks, Hero checks
TURN ($300) K♥ 6♣ T♦ 7♣
UTG+2 bets $160, Hero calls $160
RIVER ($620) K♥ 6♣ T♦ 7♣ 8♣
UTG+2 checks, Hero checks
he's a decent reg, opening rather loose, even from EP, no particular history 19/11/1.7/1.2k, cbet 78% (36), raise 1st EP 14%
pre - against such a guy i think a call is a must
flop - didn't really know how to interpret his check, its probably not a monster (though its possible), its not a complete air (98s etc) since he shoud have cbet those. May it be sth that i have beat (AJ, A9 or maybe even QJ that he doesn't want to bet/fold and is ch/raising or sth)? Anyways i dont think betting flop makes a lot of sense since prolly nothing worse is calling and i can easily be behind already + not much better is folding (maybe some pockets 77-99 but wouldnt he cbet these as well?).
turn - if i didnt want to bet flop since i see some SD value with my hand can i really fold now? The problem is that a vast majority of the hands i have beat would rather bluff flop not turn.. (apart from QJ maybe). Ive called since not only i have an AQ high but a gutter to go with it as well - would you say thats enough to justify a call? i dont think so
river - i dont think bluffing now makes a lot of sense, not a lot of better hands will fold (maybe Tx, although i doubt that), especially that there's a tiny chance that if i was good on the turn im still good on the river.
So to me it looks like ch/f every street tbh and maybe it seems a bit weak but i guess its the right play anyway. And they say playing ip is easy