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22$; 60/40 6max; bb60, 86o SB steal vs reg, bubble

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wiarygodny
Joined: 16.07.2009

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $60(BB) Replayer
Hero ($5,285)
BB ($4,290)
BTN ($2,425)

Dealt to Hero 6♦ 8♠

fold, Hero raises to $150, BB calls $90

FLOP ($300) 7♥ 4♦ 6♥

Hero bets $155, BB calls $155

TURN ($610) 7♥ 4♦ 6♥ A♣

Hero bets $310, BB calls $310

RIVER ($1,230) 7♥ 4♦ 6♥ A♣ 3♦

Hero bets $490, BB calls $490

very good reg, definitely not ABC, sometimes gets a bit sticky post, had a BvB spot when he called flop & turn with bottom pair just to turn it into a bluff by betting river when i checked to him. 31/24/1.4/193, BB vs steal (48): call 21%, 3bet 6%, all stats are for 3 handed (im afraid they're mixed with 10mans ITM hands, thats why his BB 3bet may be actually higher since i believe that HEM understandably counts calling LP shoves from BB the same as flatting vs a small LP open).

why did i go for 3 barrels:
- once he calls flop i don't really think ill get to the showdown cheaply so i don't mind turning my hand into a bluff
- turn barrel is kinda standard imo
- he should be risk averse vs me since ive got him covered and BU is a massive fish
- board is kinda drawy (especially for a BvB spot) so i thought he would raise turn a decent amount of time if he had sth really strong
- I use this rather small river sizing quite often for value bets (not sure he knows that though) and i don't really think that it matters a lot vs a reg anyway, meaning imo his river calling range is not gonna change much whether i bet 1/3 or 2/3

does that make any sense at all or am i just spewing money?

having this read abt him calling BvB with weak SD value and turning it into a bluff on the river would you consider ch/calling this river as played?


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cool hand.

I like to see this type of merging bluff and I think it is good.

the only query I had was about the river sizing, this price is going to make it much easier for him to try and hero-call . When you take a 3 barrel here on the bubble you want to try and exploit his ICM risk-aversion as well as his weak line/range. My river size would be pot. You can easily rep 5x and he almost never has 5x in his pre-flop flatting range. If you think he will even hero-call river for full pot then I would make it 1.5x pot. If you think he still calls that then i just jam river. I really think his fold frequency to big river bets is nearly 100%.


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