Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
MP: $40.44 (80.9 bb)
CO: $50 (100 bb)
BTN: $49.65 (99.3 bb)
SB: $52 (104 bb)
Hero (BB): $65.06 (130.1 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BB with 7
7
3 folds, SB raises to $1.50, Hero calls $1
Flop: ($3) A
T 7
(2 players)
SB bets $2, Hero calls $2
Turn: ($7) J (2 players)
SB bets $5, Hero calls $5
River: ($17) 4 (2 players)
SB bets $12, Hero ???
SB 23/16 on small sample
Preflop/flop standard.
Would you raise turn?
After he fires river as well on this board, he most likely has a valuehand. Do I have a valuepush here? AA/JJ/TT/KQ/98/X:cX:c beat me, but he could call with AJ/AT, maybe herocall with JT. I dont think I could assume unknown, that he would bet/call river with onepair hands (AK/AQ).
I dont have reliable info on his SB steal range, but he could call my push with something like this:
Board: A♣T♦7♠ J♣ 4♣
Equity Win Tie
SB 70.49% 70.49% 0.00% { AA, JJ-TT, AJs-ATs, KQs, 98s, KcTc, QcTc, Kc9c, Qc9c, Tc9c, Kc8c, Qc8c, Tc8c, Kc7c, 9c7c, 8c7c, Kc6c, 7c6c, 6c5c, AJo-ATo, KQo }
BB 29.51% 29.51% 0.00% { 7d7h }
If he herocalls with JT:
Board: A♣T♦7♠ J♣ 4♣
Equity Win Tie
SB 61.43% 61.43% 0.00% { AA, JJ-TT, AJs-ATs, KQs, JTs, 98s, KcTc, QcTc, Kc9c, Qc9c, Tc9c, Kc8c, Qc8c, Tc8c, Kc7c, 9c7c, 8c7c, Kc6c, 7c6c, 6c5c, AJo-ATo, KQo, JTo }
BB 38.57% 38.57% 0.00% { 7d7h }
This means I dont have 50% against his bet/broke range, so just calling river is the best play?
