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[SH] NL50 99 vs 3bet

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duder1n0
Joined: 07.07.2009

Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players

SB: $50.62 (101.2 bb)
BB: $47.90 (95.8 bb)
MP: $29.25 (58.5 bb)
Hero (CO): $67.90 (135.8 bb)
BTN: $97.37 (194.7 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 9 9
MP folds, Hero raises to $1.50, BTN folds, SB raises to $5, BB folds, Hero calls $3.50

Flop: ($10.50) 5 3 7 (2 players)
SB bets $5.75, Hero calls $5.75

Turn: ($22) 8 (2 players)
SB bets $12, Hero calls $12

River: ($46) Q (2 players)
SB bets $27.87, Hero folds

SB 31/27 after 90 hands, 3bet only 3% so far

I opened CO 3x instead my standard 2,5x, cause there was a fish in BB.

Standard? I dont think I can fold on this turn with an overpair+GS. River is a decent spot for him to shove something like A:d6:d, but I didnt want to level myself without more info...


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Hi,

I think you either have to decide on the turn if you´re going to call him down or give him credit having bigger overpair.
Since he made is 5$ pre-flop I would rather put him on AK than AA/KK (but maybe some players are making bigger raises with strong overpairs)
As played: I would prefer shoving turn for value. 31/27 would barrel there any flusdraw, sometimes for value 8x, 7x and Co vs SB his 3-bet range should be wider than TT+

If I give him tight pre-flop range, then you´re still favorite:
board: 3d5c7s8d
Hand Equity Wins Ties
TT-AA, AK, AQ 49.45% 8,094 0
99 50.55% 8,274 0

and if you´re wrong then there are 6 outs to improve your hand.

best regards,


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