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NL25 SH Zoom AJ overplay or not?

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SPeedFANat1c
Joined: 04.01.2009

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
SB ($42.86)
Hero ($44.36)
UTG ($76.91)
UTG+1 ($32.27)
CO ($21.50)
BTN ($72.03)

Dealt to Hero A♠ J♦

fold, fold, CO raises to $0.75, fold, SB calls $0.65, Hero raises to $3, CO calls $2.25, SB calls $2.25

FLOP ($9) 6♠ 5♥ J♠

SB checks, Hero bets $4.40, CO calls $4.40, SB calls $4.40

TURN ($22.20) 6♠ 5♥ J♠ 8♣

SB checks, Hero bets $15.90, CO calls $14.10 (AI), SB folds

RIVER ($50.40) 6♠ 5♥ J♠ 8♣ 9♠

Spoiler

Hero shows A♠ J♦
(Pre 27%, Flop 23.8%, Turn 11.4%)

CO shows Q♠ Q♦
(Pre 73%, Flop 76.2%, Turn 88.6%)

CO wins $48.40

CO: 50/50 4h fish from stack size

SB unknown, assumed reg, maybe was playing more tables

Pre - 3bet as semibluff/value vs fish.

Turn - bet because SB did not look super strong when he just calls flop. He should not do this with set. SO I assume he can have FD, maybe AJs as TP.

ANd fish can have variouse weaker Jx and FDs. SO bet for value.

The only thing is that they both called flop, I was not sure if my hand is strong enough anymore. Its posible that fish slowplayes even on such board better hand.


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Coach
w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey SPeedFANat1c,

The key to this hand is the reason for 3betting vs CO. If you think you have pure value preflop then your postflop line is very likely fine after you flop TPTK.

If you were playing vs guys with high Ft3bets and were esentially bluffing preflop you'd need to be careful with TPTK and perhaps consider taking a passive line - potentially getting away from it postflop.

With no information on CO apart from stack size, it's probably still enough to assume he is bad and that your postflop line is fine. Might be ok to bet a little smaller on turn, just so you are less vulnerable vs SB. Even if you make it $9 you protect your equity while still pot-committing CO. (You may even be able to freeroll some fold-equity if CO shoves) If SB does call turn would consider checking back river.


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