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AJo unknown villain

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cozacu
Joined: 14.02.2010

$0.05/$0.10 No Limit Holdem
Prima
5 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
cozacu (UTG) ($10) 100bb
CO ($10.50) 105bb
BTN ($10.90) 109bb
SB ($9.69) 97bb
BB ($9.76) 98bb

Pre-Flop: ($0.15, 5 players) cozacu is UTG A♥ J♠
cozacu raises to $0.30, 3 folds, BB calls $0.20

Flop: 2♥ 5♦ K♥ ($0.55, 2 players)
BB checks, cozacu bets $0.40, BB calls $0.40

Turn: 3♠ ($1.35, 2 players)
BB checks, cozacu bets $1, BB calls $1

River: K♦ ($3.35, 2 players)
BB bets $0.86, cozacu raises to $2.50, BB calls $1.64

PF = std

Flop= I can rep Kx, and I got a backdoor FD and SD

-his x/calling range here is KX,any 44-JJ, FD, any maybe A5,A2... two-pairs+ sets ofc.

Turn= trying to get him to fold any PP and draws, I`m continuing to rep a big Kx.

River= River K makes it less likely for him to have a K, his small donk could be with the purpose to induce or it's just signaling weakness that wants a cheep showdown... I think my raises looks very strong here and I`ll almost always have KJ+.

-I would really rarely be bluffing in such a spot.

Question:

Do you agree with my plan? Do you agree with the river bluff -raise?

... I think I should reconsider his check/call range on the turn because it's probably way tighter than what I assigned him on the flop


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Coach
w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey Cozacu,

Flop cbet is probably fine vs most guys.

Turn cbet is villain dependent. If opponent has high FtFcbet you don't necessarily want to be barreling turn purely because you turn equity. I think betting is fine, I also think checking is fine and lower variance vs unknown.

I agree with your comments that villain is unlikely to check/call turn without at least something. It's true he may have a heart draw but you actually beat all of these on river since you hold A:h. Also if he does block-bet with something like JJ, is he necessarily folding after the K pairs?

Think it's probably fine to just fold river after 2barrel fails.


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