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Missed AK vs. two opponents

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It’s mostly my call on the turn that I’m unsure about. I’m also not 100% sure that I should have c-bet on this particular flop against two opponents.

$0.5/$1 Fixed-Limit Hold'em (5 handed)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A :diamond:, K :diamond:.
2 folds, BU calls, Hero raises, BB calls, BU calls.

The player on the button seems to be very loose-passive preflop. He’s been limping in very often—with somewhere around 40% of his hands, it seems. The BB is very new to the table; I have no reads on him. I raise to try to isolate the button with my strong hole cards.

Flop: (6 SB) 6 :heart:, T :spade:, 8 :heart: (3 players)
Hero bets, BB calls, BU raises, Hero calls, BB calls.

While the board is coordinated, I’m think I’ll win the pot with a bet more than one in seven times, and I could also have the best hand and get called by drawing hands, so I c-bet. When the button raises, I think he has at least top pair if he has a made hand. I think he might also be semi-bluffing here with a flush draw or OESD and is hoping to get a free card on the turn. The BB’s range is pretty wide—he could have a pair (probably worse than tens since he didn’t raise my bet on the flop), or overcards, or a flush or straight draw. I don’t think I’m ahead of both of my opponents at this point. I’m getting 10-to-1 (11-to-1 assuming that the BB will also call) when the action gets back to me, so I call with my two overcards.

Turn: (6 BB) J :diamond: (3 players)
Hero checks, BB checks, BU bets, Hero calls, BB calls.

The button continues to show aggression on this turn card. I think he would have taken a free card if he is drawing, since he’s not an especially aggressive player from what I have seen. However, the jack gives me a three-outer to the nut straight, and the Q :heart: could also be an out. There is also some chance that I will win the pot by spiking an ace or a king on the river, though I could be reverse-dominated by AT or KT (which could both be in the passive BU’s open-limping range, I think), or I could be up against two-pair, a set, or a straight. I give myself about 2.75 outs for the overcards and 3.75 outs for the queens for a total of 6.5 outs (but I’m not sure if this is the correct number of outs to give myself??). Getting 7-to-1 immediate odds from the pot, I call. I don’t think the BB is going for a check-raise here unless he has Q9 (he would have put a raise in somewhere on the flop with 97) or a set, so I’m not too worried about that (but maybe I should have been??)

River: (9 BB) 8 :spade: (3 players)
Hero checks, BB checks, BU bets, Hero folds.

I really don’t think the BU would could continue to fire on the turn and river without a pretty strong hand against two opponents. I’m very sure I’m behind him. And I still have the BB behind me who could have a pair that he wants to show down, or he could have just made trips. I think the chances that I have the best hand are worse than 10-to-1, and so I fold.


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firsttsunami
Joined: 23.01.2006

It's basically ok to contibet as the preflopraiser i'd actually prefer to not contibet a board being coordinated like this board since you'll be frequently behind and you'll face a raise and their both ranges have pretty well hit this boardtexture. It's not really balanced since you'd bet with your pairs but on this limit, people mostly dont recognize. As played you had to call the Turn again since you got 1:8 which means you just need 5 Outs to make your call profitable. You can count 3-4 Outs for your gutshot Q to the nuts and at least 2 Outs for A and K to have the winning hand with just toppair. You played it pretty ok and since the J completed so many drawing hands BU could have been raising with, it was just the right decision to lay down your hand by the River.

The chance that he's got a busted flushdraw is just too low.


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