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Jts vs overbet river

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mlatasrb
Joined: 01.04.2012

PokerStars - $1 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 31.74 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 24)
SB: 128.61 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 1)
BB: 262.75 BB (VPIP: 13.04, PFR: 8.70, 3Bet Preflop: 2.60, Hands: 186)
Hero (UTG): 112.23 BB
MP: 137.49 BB (VPIP: 16.09, PFR: 14.94, 3Bet Preflop: 2.70, Hands: 90)
CO: 92.43 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 3)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has J♠ T♠

Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, SB calls 2.5 BB, fold

Flop: (7 BB, 2 players) T♥ 6♦ 5♥
SB checks, Hero bets 4 BB, SB calls 4 BB

Turn: (15 BB, 2 players) 5♣
SB checks, Hero checks

River: (15 BB, 2 players) 7♦
SB bets 20 BB, Hero calls 20 BB

Spoiler

SB shows Q♠ A♠ (One Pair, Fives) (Pre 65%, Flop 23%, Turn 14%)
Hero shows J♠ T♠ (Two Pair, Tens and Fives) (Pre 35%, Flop 77%, Turn 86%)
Hero wins 52.52 BB

I bet flop for protection, but turn I am not sure if I have value and how many fd combos he has? I planned to call blank river, maybe he turns into bluff some PP or busted draw.
Overbet looks to me as bluff, no sense to overbet for value when I look as giving up


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w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey Mlatasrb,

I agree with your river thought processes. Overbet from villain doesn't make sense for value if he's thinking about your range. It's not like he's always bluffing though, perhaps he just isn't thinking about your range and has a strong made hand.

Think river call is fine. I'm generally a fan of firing turn. The reason is that although we don't necessarily expect to always have 50% equity vs the range that calls, we will still have a lot, and we also protect our hand preventing villain from freerolling a ton of equity when we have a vulnerable holding.

Any spot where you are primarily betting for protection and value is super thin, just pick a smaller sizing. I still think it will be preferable to a check back.


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