What's the preflop play here?
I don't like folding because there are already two players in the hand which = ++implied odds. So to call or raise?
The case for calling: minimum investment to see the flop as a set mine, and calling may encourage BB to call behind and my hand plays well multiway as I have an easy post flop decision (either hit big or fold)
The case for raising/squeezing: calling may encourage BB to squeeze. BB is 20/15 after 57 so is TAGgy and could easily squeeze here, so to gain initiative and build fold equity I could raise. CO steals only 19% hands and PFR of 8 so we can conclude he is a pretty tight raiser, BU is a TAG and has a wide calling range here IP so a squeeze play may be successful here preflop quite often.
Sometimes I'll take the pot down preflop, sometimes I'll miss the flop and conti-bet...
THanks!
iPoker - $0.04 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
CO: 121.5 BB (VPIP: 30.45, PFR: 10.78, 3Bet Preflop: 3.60, Hands: 340)
BTN: 183.5 BB (VPIP: 24.49, PFR: 18.37, 3Bet Preflop: 11.11, Hands: 50)
Hero (SB): 100.5 BB
BB: 126.75 BB (VPIP: 19.64, PFR: 14.29, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 57)
UTG: 101 BB (VPIP: 14.67, PFR: 11.96, 3Bet Preflop: 1.67, Hands: 188)
Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 4♥ 4♦
fold, CO raises to 4 BB, BTN calls 4 BB, Hero calls 3.5 BB, fold
Flop: (13 BB, 3 players) A♣ 5♠ 6♥
Hero checks, CO checks, BTN checks
Turn: (13 BB, 3 players) A♥
Hero checks, CO bets 10 BB, fold, fold
CO wins 12.25 BB