Villain is relatively unknown. (no reads and few stats)
Preflop: I think this should be a fold vs a relative unknown, plus the I think we are at risk of being squeezed by SB or BB, although if this were the case then I think they would have a very strong hand anyway.
Flop: Hard to say what villain c-bets on this board. I would imagine something like any pair+ and maybe some draws or A-hi, K-hi with some backdoor draws. Maybe he would play fit or fold. Hard to say without further reads. I called IP since I have a gutshot+FD and think I will have decent implieds upon a hit OTT. In hindsight maybe this inst the case given that the board is paired and a FD is quite obvious if it completes.
Turn: When he barrels I think his range is mostly TP+ and good draws, vs this range I am in bad shape
Spoiler
Board: Q♥8♥8♦ T♦
Equity Win Tie
MP3 71.94% 71.72% 0.23% { KK+, QdQs, QdQc, QsQc, JdJs, JdJc, JsJc, TdTs, TdTc, TsTc, 8s8c, AhKh, AdQd, AsQs, AcQc, KdQd, KsQs, KcQc, AdQs, AdQc, AhQd, AhQs, AhQc, AsQd, AsQc, AcQd, AcQs, KdQs, KdQc, KhQd, KhQs, KhQc, KsQd, KsQc, KcQd, KcQs }
BU 28.06% 27.83% 0.23% { JhTh }
:At this point I don't think that villain is bluffing, therefore called for implied odds. In hindsight given the paired board and some reverse implied odds vs better flushes and FH's I think I should fold the Turn.
as played...
River: I dont see a value bet here. Pretty much have villain on missed FD's against which I have SD value or he has me beat, therefore just x/beh and hoped to win.
Conclusion: Need to improve play with SC's in SH games. Not sure really what spots and who to play them against, any advice?
PokerStars - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BB: $10.00 (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 6)
UTG: $18.72 (VPIP: 21.74, PFR: 21.74, 3Bet Preflop: 20.00, Hands: 24)
MP: $10.10 (VPIP: 28.57, PFR: 28.57, 3Bet Preflop: 14.29, Hands: 21)
CO: $11.26 (VPIP: 31.82, PFR: 31.82, 3Bet Preflop: 14.29, Hands: 25)
Hero (BTN): $10.65
SB: $4.00 (VPIP: 14.90, PFR: 14.24, 3Bet Preflop: 8.85, Hands: 309)
SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has J♥ T♥
fold, MP raises to $0.30, fold, Hero calls $0.30, fold, fold
Flop: ($0.75, 2 players) Q♥ 8♥ 8♦
MP bets $0.50, Hero calls $0.50
Turn: ($1.75, 2 players) T♦
MP bets $1.20, Hero calls $1.20
River: ($4.15, 2 players) 8♣
MP checks, Hero checks
Spoiler
MP shows Q♣ K♣ (Full House, Eights full of Queens) (Pre 63%, Flop 57%, Turn 68%)
Hero mucks J♥ T♥ (Full House, Eights full of Tens) (Pre 37%, Flop 43%, Turn 32%)
MP wins $3.96
