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NL10 33 on BB

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Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 8 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

MP1: $15.58 (155.8 bb)
MP2: $4.06 (40.6 bb)
MP3: $5.81 (58.1 bb)
CO: $6.62 (66.2 bb)
BTN: $10.42 (104.2 bb)
SB: $10.68 (106.8 bb)
Hero (BB): $10 (100 bb)
UTG+2: $21.76 (217.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 3 3
UTG+2 calls $0.10, 2 folds, MP3 raises to $0.50, 2 folds, SB calls $0.45, Hero calls $0.40, UTG+2 calls $0.40

Flop: ($2) 7 3 J (4 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $1.90, UTG+2 folds, MP3 raises to $5.31 and is all-in, SB raises to $10.18 and is all-in, Hero ???

MP3: 41/5 agg 1.1, 533 hands
SB: 21/14 agg 1.5, 12k hands


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Hi,

MP3 likely has there either flushdraw or overpairs (with flushdraw). SB range is mostly sets or flushes.
You get 2.4:1->29% pot odds.

Against overpair+flush you get correct pot odds:
board: 3h7hJh
Hand Equity Wins Ties
33 33.55% 2,727 0
KKh 2.10% 171 0
Ah5h 64.34% 5,229 0

If you add 77 also to SB shove range (I would assume he is 3-betting most of the times JJ, although he may sometimes also call) you don´t get any more correct pot odds:
board: 3h7hJh
Hand Equity Wins Ties
33 26.30% 25,650 0
KKh 12.69% 12,375 0
Ah*h, 77, KhQh, KhTh, QhTh 61.01% 59,499 0

So unless you think Sb can shove there just smt like AhJx I would likely just fold, since you usually don´t have there higher equity than 30-35% and often you might draw to 1 out against 77/JJ

best regards,


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