€47+€3 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t10/t20 Blinds - 2 players - View hand 2379843
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Hero (BB): t560 28 BBs
BTN/SB: t440 22 BBs
Pre Flop: (t30) Hero is BB with T
K
BTN/SB raises to t40, Hero calls t20
Flop: (t80) A
9
4
(2 players)
Hero checks, BTN/SB bets t40, Hero calls t40
Turn: (t160) 2
(2 players)
Hero checks, BTN/SB checks
River: (t160) A
(2 players)
Hero checks, BTN/SB bets t60, Hero folds
Villain if a fish-opens tight preflop-44% 18-30bb, no limping. Cbet 67%, double barrel 50%-both on a small sample.
For sure he could be value betting there with 9x and 4x, but do you think he will often enough bluff that bad river so that we can profitably make a c/c there?