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NL25 SH Zoom KQ UTG vs BTN squeeze

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SPeedFANat1c
Joined: 04.01.2009

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
SB ($24.75)
BB ($25.35)
Hero ($25.54)
UTG+1 ($22.08)
CO ($27.27)
BTN ($58.89)

Dealt to Hero K♦ Q♠

Hero raises to $0.75, fold, CO calls $0.75, BTN raises to $2.70, fold, fold, Hero raises to $5.80, fold, BTN calls $3.10

FLOP ($12.70) 4♠ 2♦ T♠

Hero bets $6.20, BTN calls $6.20

TURN ($25.10) 4♠ 2♦ T♠ J♠

Hero bets $13.54 (AI), BTN calls $13.54

RIVER ($52.18) 4♠ 2♦ T♠ J♠ T♦

Spoiler

BTN shows K♥ K♣
(Pre 91%, Flop 92.2%, Turn 65.9%)

Hero shows K♦ Q♠
(Pre 9%, Flop 7.8%, Turn 34.1%)

BTN wins $50.18

CO: 56/22 9h , marked as fish

BTN: 23/20, 3bet 22 (18), squeeze 25 (8), 41h

Its small sample on BTN but he could squeeze with AJ, AT, KQ to isolate the fish , and maybe even lighter cause he has position.

I am usually not 4bet bluffing in this spot, but this time decieded to do so. Also he made squeeze small, which could be for cheaper bluffing I thought.

So what do you think about this?

Flop - he could have AK, AQ, JJ, TT, QQ - something like this . I am not sure could he fold AQ, AK to a cbet here. AQ I think shoudl, the amounts are big. Otherwise I should not bluff.

Turn - I new practically I have no fold equity, but now its OESD + FD :) can I really check. Or maybe I can and if he checks, I see the river and so I win or I fold if I miss. If he bets, I call - will be same money invested as I bet myself.

Or maybe I can expect folds from AQ, AK if he called those on flop? THen bet could be good.


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Hi.

Preflop: I think it's fine, but making it $5 should suffice. I think people rarely call even against a 1.9X 4-bet anyway.

Flop: Bet should be $5 here, I think you bet a little too large. His calling range shouldn't change too much between a 5 and 6 $ bet.

Turn: I think you have to jam here. You get to fold out AK/AQ I suppose, although he never folds TT+.


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