Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
SB ($24.75)
BB ($25.35)
Hero ($25.54)
UTG+1 ($22.08)
CO ($27.27)
BTN ($58.89)
Dealt to Hero K♦ Q♠
Hero raises to $0.75, fold, CO calls $0.75, BTN raises to $2.70, fold, fold, Hero raises to $5.80, fold, BTN calls $3.10
FLOP ($12.70) 4♠ 2♦ T♠
Hero bets $6.20, BTN calls $6.20
TURN ($25.10) 4♠ 2♦ T♠ J♠
Hero bets $13.54 (AI), BTN calls $13.54
RIVER ($52.18) 4♠ 2♦ T♠ J♠ T♦
Spoiler
BTN shows K♥ K♣
(Pre 91%, Flop 92.2%, Turn 65.9%)
Hero shows K♦ Q♠
(Pre 9%, Flop 7.8%, Turn 34.1%)
BTN wins $50.18
CO: 56/22 9h , marked as fish
BTN: 23/20, 3bet 22 (18), squeeze 25 (8), 41h
Its small sample on BTN but he could squeeze with AJ, AT, KQ to isolate the fish , and maybe even lighter cause he has position.
I am usually not 4bet bluffing in this spot, but this time decieded to do so. Also he made squeeze small, which could be for cheaper bluffing I thought.
So what do you think about this?
Flop - he could have AK, AQ, JJ, TT, QQ - something like this . I am not sure could he fold AQ, AK to a cbet here. AQ I think shoudl, the amounts are big. Otherwise I should not bluff.
Turn - I new practically I have no fold equity, but now its OESD + FD
can I really check. Or maybe I can and if he checks, I see the river and so I win or I fold if I miss. If he bets, I call - will be same money invested as I bet myself.
Or maybe I can expect folds from AQ, AK if he called those on flop? THen bet could be good.