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Nl50 JJ strange river situation

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tukioppilas62
Joined: 01.01.2011

Villain is a bronze star guy 1tabling not much history. River I'm not sure if I should jam or raise like 24. If he has a hand like slowplayed twopair or something strong as it looks like I dont think it makes much difference to his calling range if we shove or raise smaller. Or?

He tanked to last second folded and showed AQ.

Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $124.90 (249.8 bb)
BB: $63.04 (126.1 bb)
MP: $51.15 (102.3 bb)
CO: $50 (100 bb)
Hero (BTN): $51.90 (103.8 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with J J
2 folds, Hero raises to $1, SB raises to $3, BB folds, Hero calls $2

Flop: ($6.50) A 7 3 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($6.50) 2 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

River: ($6.50) J (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $3, SB raises to $8, Hero raises to $48.90 and is all-in, SB folds

Results:

Spoiler

$22.50 pot ($1.01 rake)
Final Board: A 7 3 2 J
SB mucked and lost (-$11 net)
Hero mucked J J and won $21.49 ($10.49 net)


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3 replies
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w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey Tukioppilas62,

Preflop call is fine here.

Flop check back is fine. If our hand gets much weaker we should be betting flop for protection. JJ strong enough to check back though.

On the turn we should put out a thin value-bet.

I understand your river comments. I do think it might affect his calling frequency somewhat though. Tbh I don't really see what decent made hands he can have here? You think there is any merit here in re-raising small and at least giving him the option to make some crazy bluff-jam?


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tukioppilas62
Joined: 01.01.2011

"You think there is any merit here in re-raising small and at least giving him the option to make some crazy bluff-jam? "

Hmm. I think we are playing against a fish who can't handread at all and I also think he does the Cr whith a strong hand or pure air. I think it's very rare that a fish gets super fancy on the river so I think it's like 90% a good hand 10% air. To get max value from the good hands we should raise an amount he is ready to call with - so I think shoving and raising to 24 or something is much better than minraising or raising 16.

Even though I understand your idea of raising small to induce because it's hard to find him taking this line with any good hand as mentioned. Anyhow fishes love to slowplay and he could have here even AA or AK, AQ.


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w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Ok, if we are playing against a fish and he has his value range he might not find hero-folds even vs a shove. So EV of a shove in this scenario is generally way higher than raising small (assuming he will cautiously decide to flat vs the smaller raise and not just re-raise all of his value range anyway).


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