Skip to forum
Notifications
Clear all

100NL Call down?

4 Posts
3 Users
0 Reactions
58 Views
Yozan
Joined: 01.01.2010

HI,V is a losing Reg over a big sample ....
last 40k hands
25/19 3b 13 vs BTN/fold vs 4b 55/5b range 2
AF 1.7/1.8/3.5
cb 3b pot 55/47/74
c/f 50/60/77

WTSD 25 WWSF 42

I know vs 13%3b I hit the nuts,but is he ever bluffing or valuebet worst on this river card?
Also,don't think this villain has an x/c range OTR.

TY!

MP: $74.70 (74.7 bb)
CO: $75.90 (75.9 bb)
Hero (BTN): $142.63 (142.6 bb)
SB: $136.70 (136.7 bb)
BB: $100 (100 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with Q A
2 folds, Hero raises to $2, SB raises to $8, BB folds, Hero calls $6

Flop: ($17) 9 A A (2 players)
SB bets $11, Hero calls $11

Turn: ($39) 8 (2 players)
SB bets $27, Hero calls $27

River: ($93) 3 (2 players)
SB bets $90.70 and is all-in, Hero folds


Reply
Quote
3 replies
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

1. You are at the top of your range
2. I won't be surprised to see AJ valuebet 3 streets sometimes
3. You'll often chop with AQ
4. You lose to flushes but you have completely discounted straight draws from his range which is way too pessimistic

Snap call here, not even close.


Reply
Quote
GingerKid
Joined: 05.08.2007

Since our pot odds are 33% and villian has around 12
Value combos, so we need him to bet at least
4 combos worse than our hand. So if he bet all aj or some
Busted straights we can call. Is it correct calculation?


Reply
Quote
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

We are facing a pot size bet so pot odds are 33% indeed.

We need to beat at least 6 bluff combos if he does have 12 value combos. Cos the ratio is 33 vs 67 (bluff vs value) and not 33 vs 100 (bluff vs total hands)


Reply
Quote