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Grossmeiseter
Joined: 15.10.2007

Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BTN: $47.79 (191.2 bb)
SB: $30.32 (121.3 bb)
BB: $16.66 (66.6 bb)
UTG: $17.85 (71.4 bb)
Hero (MP): $27.29 (109.2 bb)
CO: $82.04 (328.2 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP with 9 8
UTG folds, Hero raises to $0.75, 3 folds, BB calls $0.50

Flop: ($1.60) 7 5 5 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $1, BB raises to $2.50, Hero calls $1.50

Turn: ($6.60) J (2 players)
BB bets $3.50, Hero calls $3.50

River: ($13.60) T (2 players)
BB bets $9.91 and is all-in, Hero calls $9.91

Results:

Spoiler

$33.42 pot ($1.50 rake)
Final Board: 7 5 5 J T
BB showed 5 Q and lost (-$16.66 net)
Hero showed 9 8 and won $31.92 ($15.26 net)

vs unknown

Villain is not repping anything on the flop, but even if we have 18% equity against a 5x.
At that moment i thought i could outplay him on later streets.
Turn, we pick our Oesd, and again, having 18% equity and we still can win the pot on river unimproved, if he checks to us!
If we hit we have most likely the best hand and could get a ton of money on the river. It is also possible that he is bluffing flop turn and river.

What do you think on a board wehere villain most likely has a bluff?
What is your plan?


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3 replies
Coach
w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey Grossmeiseter,

Preflop open is fine.

Flop bet vs missed cbet is fine. Vs x/r it's borderline. I have no real issues with folding at these limits unless we have reads on opponents x/r frequency. At higher limits maybe we should call as standard.

It might be ambitious to assume we have 18% equity on turn here. Firstly the board is paired so we could be drawing dead, and secondly some of our outs are diamonds which are not clean outs. Calling is ok, but good to realise it's super marginal and I doubt it's making much money in long run.

We should probably call river, but again marginal and unlikely to be that profitable in the long run.


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Grossmeiseter
Joined: 15.10.2007

Sounds good!

but we have more than 18% equity. Most of the time villain has no 5x and no FD, otherwise folding should be our first option.


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Coach
w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Originally posted by Grossmeiseter
Sounds good!

but we have more than 18% equity. Most of the time villain has no 5x and no FD, otherwise folding should be our first option.

I'm not sure how you work out that we have over 18% equity.

Also it's good to remember that even if we know for certain opponent has no boat-draw or flush-draw (no way we can ever know this), diamond rivers and paired boards are bad for us because it makes it harder to extract value on the river. So even if a diamond river is perfectly safe for us, our implied odds are nowhere near as good.


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