Hey,
Lets say we are HU and I raise to 50. Villian calls.
Pot is 100.
x/x, x/x, I bet River 50.
I need to know how much bluffs I need to have in this, assuming he calls 100%, to breakeven.
Do I consider the money invested pre?
Which means I need to have 50% Value, 50% Bluff
Win once -> I win 50 post + 50 pre = 100
Lose once -> Lose 50 post + 50 pre = -100
Do I not consider the money invested pre? (Dead money?)
Which means I need to have 25% Value, 75% Bluff
Win once -> I win 50+100pot = 150
Lose thrice -> I lose 50*3 = -150
I'm assuming the answer would be the second one. Could you explain why please?
I mean, in the second one, I will be down 200 overall after 4 times.
2 years of playing poker and now I ask this