Hello guys,
is this move valid in the bubble? villain = 28/17 112 hands
Pacific, $0.85 Buy-in (150/300 blinds) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 4 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
CO: 1,834 (6.1 bb)
BTN: 3,423 (11.4 bb)
Hero (SB): 5,330 (17.8 bb)
BB: 2,913 (9.7 bb)
Preflop: Hero is SB with 8
A
CO folds, BTN raises to 600, Hero raises to 5,330 and is all-in, 2 folds
Results: 1,500 pot
Hero mucked 8 A and won 1,500 (900 net)
Hi swordmaster34!
I think your push was ok. You put a lot of presure on opponnent so he will call you only with realy strong hands, so you have a lot of fold equity. Also when he calls you, you still have some equity to win this. So nice push.
I think that villain woud raise with 30,9%: 22+, Ax+, K6s+, KTo+, Q9s+, QTo+, J9s+, JTo, T8s+, 98s, 87s, 76s
So you can push (acording to HRC) with 81,1%: 22+, Jx+, T2s+, T6o+, 92s+, 95o+, 82s+, 85o+, 72s+, 75o+, 62s+, 65o, 52s+, 54o, 42s+, 32s
But I woud recomend range of 42,1%: 22+, Ax+, K2s+, K7o+, Q8s+, Q9o+, J9s+, J9o+, T8s+, T8o+, 97s+, 98o, 86s+, 87o, 75s+, 65s, 54s
It realy depends how wide will BTN call you. If he call you with: 77+ ATs+ ATo+ KQs KQo; then you can push only with 14%: 22+ A7s+ A5s-A4s ATo+ KJs+ KQo QJs
So realy tough spot. Will be nice to see what coach will say.
GL at tables
Hi all,
In theory this spot is OK. However if your opponent does not understand his risk aversion against you, and raise/LOL's-it-off with a hand like ATo or even KQ, this is really bad for you (even worse for him), and really good for the 2 shorter stacks. As a result (especially) at these stakes I'm quite cautious about making these plays.
I thought i had some FE against him , he had 100% of fold to steal(10 hands).
generally , is this a profitable move to long runs?
Originally posted by swordmaster34
I thought i had some FE against him , he had 100% of fold to steal(10 hands).
generally , is this a profitable move to long runs?
probably not. it's a really tiny sample and isn't a relevant stat in this situation anyway (it means how often he folds after you raise his BB or SB)..
please click the advise the judge etc. if you have any further questions please!
