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NL 50 AJo Squeeze-river bluff

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Majku99
Joined: 22.02.2012

Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 7 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

CO: $50 (100 bb)
BTN: $30.53 (61.1 bb)
SB: $56.23 (112.5 bb)
Hero (BB): $50 (100 bb)
MP1: $50 (100 bb)
MP2: $51.61 (103.2 bb)
MP3: $50 (100 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with J A
MP1 folds, MP2 raises to $1.50, MP3 folds, CO calls $1.50, BTN calls $1.50, SB folds, Hero raises to $7.25, MP2 calls $5.75, 2 folds

Flop: ($17.75) 8 7 T (2 players)
Hero bets $7, MP2 calls $7

Turn: ($31.75) 8 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP2 checks

River: ($31.75) K (2 players)
Hero bets $35.75 and is all-in, MP2 folds

Results:

Spoiler

$31.75 pot ($1.43 rake)
Final Board: 8 7 T 8 K
Hero mucked J A and won $30.32 ($16.07 net)
MP2 mucked and lost (-$14.25 net)

Hey!

Villain is 31/23 after 38 hands probably reg ( blocked player finding)

PREFLOP: Calling is no option, squeeze for bluff vs regs and for value vs fish (BTN)
FLOP: I have good equity one card GS, BFD and one over. Villain's range is something like: QQ-88,AQs,AQo+ a bit wider because of a fish behind him. I hope him to fold most of his overs here mainly. After bet I see him with QQ-88,AcQc
TURN: After xb, I put him on QQ-88.
RIVER: Great card for bluff, over+flush hits the board. I can rep TT,KK,AA,and any Acxc. With shove here it's going to be very difficult for him to call me here with JJ,99 or QQ. I need 52% FE, so if he folds a least one combo of QQ ans JJ na 99 it's EV+


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2 replies

Hi Majku99

I'm not a huge fan of that cbet there and that size given that villain will have a hard time folding to much there. I would rather set the stacks up better for the turn and look more like a vbet on a wet board.

As played do we even need to shove the river for the FE taht we want? It's a big scare card and a smaller bet may look stronger too.


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Majku99 Topic starter
Majku99
Joined: 22.02.2012

I agree cbet should be big enough to have about 75-80%pot bet to shove.


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