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zoom, ATo bluff

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$0.25/$0.50 No Limit Holdem

Stacks:
UTG Player4 ($143.54) 287bb
UTG+1 Player5 ($50.53) 101bb
CO Player6 ($35.51) 71bb
BTN gAsheks ($71.30) 143bb
SB Player2 ($50.75) 102bb
BB Player3 ($71.11) 142bb

Pre-Flop: ($0.75, 6 players) gAsheks is BTN
1 fold, Player5 raises to $1.50, 1 fold, gAsheks raises to $4.25, 2 folds, Player5 calls $2.75

Flop: ($9.25, 2 players)
Player5 checks, gAsheks bets $4.50, Player5 calls $4.50

Turn: ($18.25, 2 players)
Player5 checks, gAsheks checks

River: ($18.25, 2 players)
Player5 bets $10.25, ??

Villain is a regular. 22/20/9. He seems to be folding a bit too much to 3bets thats why i decided to pull out a bluff. Sample is like 300h+-

Before that hand it was even over 80%.

Wasn't sure about postflop. How would you plan it? Either give up or barrel 3? I decided that im going to bet at least 2 streets depending on runout. I might not bet if turn is like 2 :club:. Is that okay?

Once we improve do we have a value bet?

What would be your decision on river?


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1 reply
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Hi.

Flop: I think this bet is way too loose unless you know that villain is folding way too much vs flop cbets (>50%).

Many people will often c/c AQ here and they'll sometimes have AK too. Given that his F23B is extremely high, his range is almost always AK/pocket pairs and some AQ combos. Your fold equity vs this range on this flop is virtually non-existent.

I might bet with a backdoor FD but not with only 2 overs, where your Ace out is often tainted.

Anyway as played I would call the River for sure and hope to beat AX. You shouldn't be too afraid of the 9 cos he virtually has no 9Xs type of hands in his range due to his preflop nittiness.


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