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nl100 QTas

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sandraardnas
Joined: 11.01.2012

Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $154.29 (154.3 bb)
BB: $119.03 (119 bb)
Hero (UTG): $100 (100 bb)
MP: $112.77 (112.8 bb)
CO: $101.50 (101.5 bb)
BTN: $100 (100 bb)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with T Q
Hero raises to $3, MP folds, CO calls $3, 3 folds

Flop: ($7.50) 4 Q T (2 players)
Hero bets $5, CO calls $5

Turn: ($17.50) 2 (2 players)
Hero bets $12, CO calls $12

River: ($41.50) 7 (2 players)
HERO???


Hey, villains 3b co v ep is 4,3% and 4/7 fold to 4b, call 13%.
I guess he has QQ and AK sometimes.
On flop I plan to 3barrel agaisnt his AQ so I cb.
On turn Im not sure if still got 3 streets of value, even if he calls AQ then its still close, cause he probably rarely raises sets and he can have many fd's since he calls quite wide pre.
Maybe its better to x/c trn? But What if he fires turn and river?
QT would be a bluffcatcher in this situation, but he might show up with AJ, AK, 89, KJs and he has very narrow v range.


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

http://www.pokerstrategy.com
Board: 4dQsTs
Equity Win Tie
MP2 72.74% 69.96% 2.78% { QdTd }
MP3 27.26% 24.48% 2.78% { AQs, KQs, QTs+, AsJs, KsJs, AsTs, KsTs, JsTs, As9s, Js9s, Ts9s, As8s, Ts8s, 9s8s, As7s, 8s7s, As6s, As5s, As4s, As3s, As2s, AQo, KQo, AsKd, AsKh, AsKc }

This is your equity vs his Turn calling/River range. You could probably sneak in a blocking bet still (1/3 pot), esp if we assume that he raises sets on the Flop always, and raises some flushes on the Turn.

Check-calling the Turn is also a reasonable option, since you only have less than 1.5 streets of value left


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